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AUTO.JK$2530.00+1.20%
Fair $2530.00+0.0%

AUTO.JK

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsJakarta

$2530.00

+30.00 (+1.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2530.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3T · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AUTO.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Astra Otoparts Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.19T

P/E

5.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

14.1%

↑

Gross Margin

16.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$2530
$1940$2940

TradingView lightweight chart

AUTO.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,530Periodo +585.3%
Fair value: $2,530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

+63.8%

FCF margin

7.0%

FCF / Net income

0.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.91T · net income $2.21T · FCF $1.40T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.9%+2.4% pts

Operating margin

6.4%+1.2% pts

Net margin

11.1%+3.9% pts

FCF margin

7.0%+5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19906.77B$19906.77B$19073.70B$18649.06B$18579.93B
Net Income$2205.02B$2205.02B$2033.64B$1842.43B$1326.58B
EBITDA$2847.79B$2847.79B$2682.62B$2489.41B$1883.95B
EPS457.00457.00422.00382.00275.00
Gross Margin16.9%16.9%16.1%16.5%14.5%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%5.7%6.4%5.2%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%10.7%9.9%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.050.030.04
Current Ratio2.222.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1399.87B$1399.87B$959.35B$1264.94B$318.67B
Returns
ROE14.1%14.1%14.1%13.8%11.1%
Valuation
P/E5.415.415.336.135.09
EV/EBITDA2.902.902.943.612.75
P/B0.780.780.750.850.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%2.3%0.4%—
EPS Growth8.3%8.3%10.5%38.9%—
Dividend Yield9.1%9.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-21.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$224.50

Spread vs growth

29.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$271.64

Spread vs growth

18.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$437.48

Spread vs growth

8.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.5%

Total return

+29.5%

Start / end P/E

5.0x → 5.5x

EPS bridge

422.00 → 457.00

Residual

+0.9%

EPS growth+8.3%
Multiple rerating+11.2%
Dividend+9.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.