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AVA.AX$0.05-1.82%
Fair $0.05+0.0%

AVA.AX

AVA Risk Group Limited

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesASX

$0.05

-0.00 (-1.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.05Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.3M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -29.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AVA.AXLocal privado en este navegador · AVA Risk Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-29.1%

↓

Gross Margin

64.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

AVA.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.054Periodo -93.5%
Fair value: $0.054

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.3%

FCF CAGR

+3.5%

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.6M · net income $-6.5M · FCF $1.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.2%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

-4.5%+2.2% pts

Net margin

-20.4%-198.4% pts

FCF margin

3.8%-2.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.6M$31.6M$30.1M$28.6M$18.6M
Net Income$-6.5M$-6.5M$-5.2M$-1.1M$33.1M
EBITDA$-3.4M$-3.4M$-2.5M$1.4M$1.4M
EPS-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.14
Gross Margin64.2%64.2%59.7%63.7%64.4%
Operating Margin-4.5%-4.5%-11.2%-2.9%-6.7%
Net Margin-20.4%-20.4%-17.3%-3.7%177.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.110.100.01
Current Ratio2.682.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.2M$1.2M$-3.3M$-4.6M$1.1M
Returns
ROE-29.1%-29.1%-18.6%-3.6%127.7%
Valuation
P/E————1.50
EV/EBITDA———35.8625.69
P/B0.710.711.041.831.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.8%4.8%5.4%53.6%—
EPS Growth-12.6%-12.6%-382.9%-103.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -44.9%

Total return

-44.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → -0.02

Residual

-44.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-44.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.