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AVNW$18.39+3.40%
Fair $18.39+0.0%

AVNW

Aviat Networks, Inc.

Technology / Communication EquipmentNasdaqGS

$18.39

+0.60 (+3.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.39Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 1/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-7.0M · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 2unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AVNWLocal privado en este navegador · Aviat Networks, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$238M

P/E

26.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.1x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

32.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.35

↑
52-Week Range$18
$14$27

TradingView lightweight chart

AVNW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.40Periodo -86.7%
Fair value: $18.39

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.7%

FCF / Net income

-5.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $434.6M · net income $1.3M · FCF $-7.2M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.1%+3.6% pts

Operating margin

3.3%+27.2% pts

Net margin

0.3%+28.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.7%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$434.6M$434.6M$408.1M$344.4M$303.0M$274.9M$238.6M$243.9M$242.5M$241.9M$268.7M$335.9M$346.0M$471.3M$444.0M$452.1M$465.5M
Net Income$1.3M$1.3M$10.8M$10.2M$21.2M$110.1M$257000.00$9.7M$1.8M$-823000.00$-29.9M$-24.6M$-51.1M$-16.7M$-24.1M$-90.5M$-130.2M
EBITDA$17.7M$17.7M$24.2M$28.0M$33.4M$27.6M$7.8M$5.8M$6.5M$4.9M$-20.8M$-18.7M$-43.5M$5.6M$-8.4M$-29.6M$-91.5M
EPS0.100.100.860.971.799.420.020.870.17-0.08-2.85——————
Gross Margin32.1%32.1%35.5%35.5%36.1%37.3%35.5%32.5%33.2%31.2%23.0%24.0%24.6%29.4%29.7%28.3%28.5%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%5.7%8.0%9.6%8.1%1.4%0.6%0.5%-0.4%-10.2%-7.7%-14.6%0.0%-3.0%-8.4%-24.0%
Net Margin0.3%0.3%2.6%3.0%7.0%40.1%0.1%4.0%0.8%-0.3%-11.1%-7.3%-14.8%-3.5%-5.4%-20.0%-28.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.200.010.01————————0.000.060.03—
Current Ratio1.991.99———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.2M$-7.2M$27.9M$-7.0M$997000.00$14.5M$12.9M$-2.3M$1.6M$5.4M$-1.2M$-13.3M$-38.7M$-2.0M$2.5M$-48.7M$10.4M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%4.2%4.6%10.5%60.1%0.4%13.6%3.2%-1.5%-56.3%-29.4%-45.7%-11.1%-15.3%-50.9%-49.5%
Valuation
P/E26.6626.6631.8033.6414.60————————————
EV/EBITDA15.1115.1113.5413.118.22————————————
P/B0.900.901.331.771.53————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.5%6.5%18.5%13.7%—15.2%-2.1%0.6%0.3%-10.0%-20.0%-2.9%-26.6%6.1%-1.8%-2.9%—
EPS Growth-88.4%-88.4%-11.3%-45.8%—47000.0%-97.7%427.3%306.3%97.2%———————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

153.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.63

Spread vs growth

-242.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

81.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.98

Spread vs growth

-170.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

41.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.18

Spread vs growth

-129.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.9%

Total return

-14.9%

Start / end P/E

25.1x → 184.0x

EPS bridge

0.86 → 0.10

Residual

-558.6%

EPS growth-88.4%
Multiple rerating+632.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-558.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.