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v0.1
AVO$10.89-2.24%
Fair $10.89+0.0%

AVO

Mission Produce, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionNasdaqGS

$10.89

-0.25 (-2.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.89Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $37.2M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 0unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AVOLocal privado en este navegador · Mission Produce, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$772M

P/E

23.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↓

ROE

6.4%

↓

Gross Margin

11.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$11
$10$16

TradingView lightweight chart

AVO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.89Periodo -12.5%
Fair value: $10.89

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

-8.4%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.39B · net income $37.7M · FCF $37.2M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.6%-6.0% pts

Operating margin

4.7%-7.4% pts

Net margin

2.7%-5.4% pts

FCF margin

2.7%-4.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$1.39B$1.39B$1.23B$953.9M$1.05B$891.7M$862.3M$883.3M
Net Income$37.7M$37.7M$36.7M$-2.8M$-34.6M$44.9M$28.8M$71.7M
EBITDA$105.9M$105.9M$110.7M$43.5M$-900000.00$81.3M$86.5M$123.0M
EPS0.530.530.52-0.04-0.490.630.451.13
Gross Margin11.6%11.6%12.4%8.7%8.6%14.0%14.4%17.5%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%5.3%0.7%1.2%6.8%7.9%12.1%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%3.0%-0.3%-3.3%5.0%3.3%8.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.400.500.430.290.35—
Current Ratio1.861.86——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$37.2M$37.2M$61.2M$-20.6M$-26.0M$-26.4M$11.6M$62.9M
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%6.7%-0.6%-6.9%8.4%6.1%18.9%
Valuation
P/E23.6723.6722.98—————
EV/EBITDA8.628.629.1020.19————
P/B1.321.321.551.332.29———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.7%12.7%29.4%-8.8%—3.4%-2.4%—
EPS Growth1.9%1.9%1400.0%91.8%—40.0%-60.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.97

Spread vs growth

-20.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

-15.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.88

Spread vs growth

-11.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.6%

Total return

-2.6%

Start / end P/E

21.5x → 20.5x

EPS bridge

0.52 → 0.53

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth+1.9%
Multiple rerating-4.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.