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AVTX$15.75-1.25%
Fair $15.75+0.0%

AVTX

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqCM

$15.75

-0.20 (-1.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.75Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-49.1M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 13Warnings: 3unknown: 13
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -94.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AVTXLocal privado en este navegador · Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$828M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-94.2%

↓

Gross Margin

100.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$16
$4$24

TradingView lightweight chart

AVTX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.75Periodo -99.9%
Fair value: $15.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2013–2025 · 12 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-87216.9%

FCF / Net income

0.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $59000.0 · net income $-78.3M · FCF $-51.5M

2013-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

100.0%— pts

Operating margin

-123601.7%— pts

Net margin

-132642.4%— pts

FCF margin

-87216.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Income Statement
Revenue$59000.00$59000.00$441000.00$1.9M$18.1M$5.4M$6.7M$6.8M$7.0M$27.8M$1.2M$0.00——
Net Income$-78.3M$-78.3M$-35.1M$-31.5M$-41.7M$-84.4M$-63.5M$-16.1M$-40.1M$11.9M$-16.5M$-10.5M$-16.1M$-13.0M
EBITDA$-72.6M$-72.6M$-40.7M$-23.3M$-37.3M$-80.5M$-71.0M$-12.3M$-30.8M$14.3M$-16.1M$-11.0M——
EPS——-20.91-113.58-1063.20———-3456.001209.60-5385.60-13564.80——
Gross Margin100.0%100.0%183.0%33.3%81.0%—————————
Operating Margin-123601.7%-123601.7%-9267.8%-1218.5%-207.4%-1521.6%-1087.4%-239.1%-503.4%49.9%-1394.6%———
Net Margin-132642.4%-132642.4%-7965.8%-1639.5%-230.8%-1563.1%-947.9%-238.1%-569.9%42.7%-1428.6%———
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.07-1.83———0.690.000.000.18-0.20—
Current Ratio7.667.66————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-51.5M$-51.5M$-49.1M$-30.7M$-26.8M$-71.0M$-40.6M$-19.4M$-3.7M$12.6M$-14.6M$-10.2M——
Returns
ROE-94.2%-94.2%-26.4%-431.9%381.7%-365.5%-258.5%-76.6%-191.6%42.6%-7957.2%-80.2%61.0%73.1%
Valuation
P/B3.513.510.470.32——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-86.6%-86.6%-77.1%-89.3%—-19.4%-0.8%-4.0%-74.7%2312.3%————
EPS Growth——81.6%89.3%————-385.7%122.5%60.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +293.8%

Total return

+293.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-20.91 → n/d

Residual

+293.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+293.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.