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AWX$2.60-1.92%
Fair $2.60+0.0%

AWX

Avalon Holdings Corporation

Industrials / Waste ManagementNYSE American

$2.60

-0.05 (-1.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.60Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 1unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AWXLocal privado en este navegador · Avalon Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10M

P/E

18.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

0.8%

↓

Gross Margin

19.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.91

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

AWX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.550Periodo -49.0%
Fair value: $2.600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

6.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $83.5M · net income $321000.0 · FCF $2.1M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.5%— pts

Operating margin

2.4%+4.2% pts

Net margin

0.4%+1.6% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$83.5M$83.5M$83.8M$80.9M$81.2M$70.4M$58.7M$68.4M$62.2M$55.8M$61.4M$53.1M$51.5M$59.5M$48.9M$54.0M$43.5M
Net Income$321000.00$321000.00$1.3M$-1.8M$-583000.00$2.0M$14000.00$-455000.00$-1.1M$-307000.00$-69000.00$-712000.00$-1.1M$438000.00$-326000.00$776000.00$-543000.00
EBITDA$5.8M$5.8M$7.0M$3.9M$4.1M$3.7M$3.0M$2.7M$179000.00$2.7M$2.6M$1.3M$759000.00$1.9M$1.1M$1.7M$919000.00
EPS——0.34-0.46-0.150.500.00-0.12————-0.280.11-0.090.20-0.14
Gross Margin19.5%19.5%20.6%17.5%17.2%————————————
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%3.7%0.1%0.4%0.8%0.2%0.2%-4.3%-0.5%-0.3%-2.5%-2.7%0.5%-1.0%0.1%-1.8%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%1.6%-2.2%-0.7%2.8%0.0%-0.7%-1.8%-0.5%-0.1%-1.3%-2.1%0.7%-0.7%1.4%-1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.910.910.910.950.880.500.590.580.270.280.29——————
Current Ratio0.960.96———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.1M$2.1M$1.1M$-1.5M$-4.1M$-2.1M$-2.0M$-4.0M$-80000.00$-541000.00$-411000.00$-6.6M$-7.6M$-1.1M$523000.00$1.4M$-320000.00
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%3.5%-4.8%-1.5%5.0%0.0%-1.2%-3.1%-0.8%-0.2%-1.8%-2.7%1.1%-0.8%1.9%-1.4%
Valuation
P/E18.2118.2110.94——————————————
EV/EBITDA6.986.986.6410.8710.52————————————
P/B0.260.260.380.240.28————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%3.6%-0.3%—19.9%-14.1%9.8%11.4%-9.0%15.6%3.1%-13.4%21.6%-9.4%24.2%—
EPS Growth——173.9%-206.7%——100.0%—————-354.5%222.2%-145.0%242.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.5%

Total return

+4.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.34 → n/d

Residual

+4.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.