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BAKAB.IS$49.60+0.00%
Fair $49.60+0.0%

BAKAB.IS

Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersIstanbul

$49.60

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $49.60Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $211.1M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -12.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BAKAB.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

25.8x

↑

ROE

-12.6%

↓

Gross Margin

7.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$50
$28$52

TradingView lightweight chart

BAKAB.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $46.96Periodo +2298.7%
Fair value: $49.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+69.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.38B · net income $-293.1M · FCF $211.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

7.5%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

-3.0%-10.6% pts

Net margin

-6.7%-15.2% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+9.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$4.38B$4.38B$4.94B$3.82B$895.8M
Net Income$-293.1M$-293.1M$54.6M$120.2M$76.2M
EBITDA$158.9M$158.9M$529.3M$278.6M$111.5M
EPS——0.751.671.06
Gross Margin7.5%7.5%12.3%5.4%15.1%
Operating Margin-3.0%-3.0%3.7%-1.6%7.7%
Net Margin-6.7%-6.7%1.1%3.1%8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.460.690.87
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$211.1M$211.1M$213.3M$-516.0M$-39.5M
Returns
ROE-12.6%-12.6%2.0%7.7%23.0%
Valuation
P/E——106.8033.2018.16
EV/EBITDA25.8125.8112.6217.1713.51
P/B1.531.532.162.554.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.2%-11.2%29.2%326.6%—
EPS Growth——-55.1%57.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +58.4%

Total return

+58.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.75 → n/d

Residual

+58.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+58.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.