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BALCO.ST$14.75+2.79%
Fair $14.75+0.0%

BALCO.ST

Balco Group AB

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionStockholm

$14.75

+0.40 (+2.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.75Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.8M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BALCO.STLocal privado en este navegador · Balco Group AB
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$340M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

27.6x

↑

ROE

-4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.74

↑
52-Week Range$15
$14$28

TradingView lightweight chart

BALCO.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.75Periodo -77.5%
Fair value: $14.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.1%

FCF / Net income

0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.30B · net income $-35.8M · FCF $-1.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%-9.3% pts

Operating margin

-2.3%-9.2% pts

Net margin

-2.8%-8.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.1%-9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.30B$1.30B$1.42B$1.21B$1.33B
Net Income$-35.8M$-35.8M$1.1M$45.9M$76.2M
EBITDA$26.1M$26.1M$78.6M$116.0M$143.4M
EPS-1.55-1.550.052.123.44
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%17.5%20.2%21.6%
Operating Margin-2.3%-2.3%2.4%5.0%6.8%
Net Margin-2.8%-2.8%0.1%3.8%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.740.740.540.330.21
Current Ratio1.611.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.8M$-1.8M$72.2M$-39.5M$128.9M
Returns
ROE-4.9%-4.9%0.1%6.1%10.4%
Valuation
P/E——789.0024.0113.08
EV/EBITDA27.6427.6415.6311.707.67
P/B0.460.461.151.491.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.7%-8.7%16.7%-8.9%—
EPS Growth-3200.0%-3200.0%-97.6%-38.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.1%

Total return

-36.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.05 → -1.55

Residual

-36.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.