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BAP.AX$0.46+8.24%
Fair $0.46+0.0%

BAP.AX

Bapcor Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailASX

$0.46

+0.03 (+8.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.46Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $72.8M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BAP.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Bapcor Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$309M

P/E

7.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

45.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.75

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$5

TradingView lightweight chart

BAP.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.460Periodo -76.3%
Fair value: $0.460

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

+15.4%

FCF margin

3.7%

FCF / Net income

2.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.98B · net income $28.1M · FCF $72.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.3%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-6.0% pts

Net margin

1.4%-5.4% pts

FCF margin

3.7%+1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.98B$1.98B$2.04B$2.02B$1.84B
Net Income$28.1M$28.1M$-158.3M$106.4M$125.8M
EBITDA$158.4M$158.4M$-44.4M$259.8M$275.0M
EPS0.060.06-0.340.230.27
Gross Margin45.3%45.3%45.3%46.7%46.7%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%5.5%8.6%10.6%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%-7.8%5.3%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.750.750.780.570.55
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$72.8M$72.8M$68.5M$172.4M$47.4M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%-17.7%9.5%11.5%
Valuation
P/E7.737.73—26.6923.93
EV/EBITDA5.065.06—13.1112.83
P/B0.250.252.652.532.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%0.8%9.7%—
EPS Growth117.6%117.6%-249.3%-15.4%—
Dividend Yield17.3%17.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

129.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

121.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

114.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -73.7%

Total return

-73.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.34 → 0.06

Residual

-91.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+17.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-91.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.