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BCF.JO$1320.00+1.46%
Fair $1320.00+0.0%

BCF.JO

Bowler Metcalf Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersJohannesburg

$1320.00

+19.00 (+1.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1320.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $37.2M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · BCF.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Bowler Metcalf Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$904M

P/E

6.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

472.6x

↑

ROE

13.9%

↑

Gross Margin

28.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1320
$13$1579

TradingView lightweight chart

BCF.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,320Periodo +1289.5%
Fair value: $1,320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $945.9M · net income $121.9M · FCF $37.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.7%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

15.1%+0.2% pts

Net margin

12.9%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

3.9%+18.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$945.9M$945.9M$860.9M$717.0M$673.1M
Net Income$121.9M$121.9M$107.3M$68.7M$82.7M
EBITDA$191.1M$191.1M$170.7M$115.8M$133.3M
EPS1.781.781.560.991.16
Gross Margin28.7%28.7%28.5%26.4%29.3%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%14.0%10.2%14.9%
Net Margin12.9%12.9%12.5%9.6%12.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.01—0.000.01
Current Ratio5.735.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$37.2M$37.2M$-3.2M$45.6M$-94.8M
Returns
ROE13.9%13.9%13.4%9.4%11.7%
Valuation
P/E6.806.80704.90934.34918.71
EV/EBITDA472.59472.59441.82552.70568.68
P/B103.38103.3894.3288.15107.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%20.1%6.5%—
EPS Growth13.9%13.9%57.6%-14.8%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

303.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$117.13

Spread vs growth

-290.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

140.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$141.72

Spread vs growth

-126.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

62.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$228.25

Spread vs growth

-48.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.8%

Total return

+0.8%

Start / end P/E

888.8x → 742.7x

EPS bridge

1.56 → 1.78

Residual

-2.3%

EPS growth+13.9%
Multiple rerating-16.4%
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.