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BIOG-B.ST$122.30-0.81%
Fair $122.30+0.0%

BIOG-B.ST

BioGaia AB (publ)

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericStockholm

$122.30

-1.00 (-0.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $122.30Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $359.1M · quality 66.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 89/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · BIOG-B.STLocal privado en este navegador · BioGaia AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.4B

P/E

37.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.6x

↑

ROE

25.3%

↑

Gross Margin

73.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$122
$93$136

TradingView lightweight chart

BIOG-B.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $122.30Periodo +3466.7%
Fair value: $122.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.7%

FCF CAGR

+0.2%

FCF margin

19.7%

FCF / Net income

0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.54B · net income $332.8M · FCF $303.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

73.4%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

29.4%-0.9% pts

Net margin

21.6%-12.2% pts

FCF margin

19.7%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.54B$1.54B$1.42B$1.30B$1.10B
Net Income$332.8M$332.8M$351.4M$365.4M$373.8M
EBITDA$451.9M$451.9M$474.8M$494.9M$476.9M
EPS3.293.293.483.623.70
Gross Margin73.4%73.4%72.4%73.3%72.6%
Operating Margin29.4%29.4%28.8%34.0%30.3%
Net Margin21.6%21.6%24.7%28.2%33.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.944.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$303.0M$303.0M$359.1M$377.3M$300.8M
Returns
ROE25.3%25.3%20.4%18.0%19.0%
Valuation
P/E37.2937.2931.7828.2623.17
EV/EBITDA25.6025.6020.9717.7515.03
P/B9.419.416.485.094.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%9.7%17.4%—
EPS Growth-5.5%-5.5%-3.9%-2.2%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

48.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.85

Spread vs growth

-54.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

31.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$13.13

Spread vs growth

-37.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.15

Spread vs growth

-25.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.8%

Total return

+24.8%

Start / end P/E

28.5x → 37.2x

EPS bridge

3.48 → 3.29

Residual

-1.7%

EPS growth-5.5%
Multiple rerating+30.6%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.