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v0.1
BLCYT.IS$39.66+6.67%
Fair $39.66+0.0%

BLCYT.IS

Bilici Yatirim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingIstanbul

$39.66

+2.48 (+6.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.66Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $129.6M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BLCYT.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Bilici Yatirim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

28.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

↑

ROE

0.9%

↓

Gross Margin

19.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$40
$15$62

TradingView lightweight chart

BLCYT.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.66Periodo +4945.8%
Fair value: $39.66

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.8%

FCF / Net income

-3.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $614.6M · net income $39.8M · FCF $-121.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.3%-8.3% pts

Operating margin

0.9%-26.4% pts

Net margin

6.5%-19.0% pts

FCF margin

-19.8%-42.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$614.6M$614.6M$976.8M$743.8M$1.34B
Net Income$39.8M$39.8M$349.9M$594.5M$340.4M
EBITDA$277.2M$277.2M$527.1M$789.6M$332.6M
EPS0.460.464.006.803.89
Gross Margin19.3%19.3%18.3%30.1%27.6%
Operating Margin0.9%0.9%9.9%25.9%27.3%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%35.8%79.9%25.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.020.01
Current Ratio15.3415.34———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-121.9M$-121.9M$360.4M$129.6M$307.3M
Returns
ROE0.9%0.9%8.4%15.6%18.1%
Valuation
P/E28.3328.333.902.174.50
EV/EBITDA11.6311.630.851.383.18
P/B0.820.820.330.340.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-37.1%-37.1%31.3%-44.3%—
EPS Growth-88.6%-88.6%-41.2%74.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

97.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.52

Spread vs growth

-186.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

56.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.26

Spread vs growth

-144.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.86

Spread vs growth

-119.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +143.9%

Total return

+143.9%

Start / end P/E

4.1x → 86.7x

EPS bridge

4.00 → 0.46

Residual

-1801.7%

EPS growth-88.6%
Multiple rerating+2034.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1801.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.