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BLMN$8.14-3.55%
Fair $8.14+0.0%

BLMN

Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsNasdaqGS

$8.14

-0.30 (-3.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.14Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 7/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $96.8M · quality 40.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 3unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 6.03, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BLMNLocal privado en este navegador · Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$697M

P/E

33.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↑

ROE

2.5%

↓

Gross Margin

13.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

6.03

↑
52-Week Range$8
$5$11

TradingView lightweight chart

BLMN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.140Periodo -34.4%
Fair value: $8.140

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.6%

FCF CAGR

-5.2%

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

11.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.96B · net income $8.2M · FCF $96.8M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.3%— pts

Operating margin

2.8%-1.9% pts

Net margin

0.2%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

2.4%-3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$3.96B$3.96B$3.95B$4.17B$4.01B$4.12B$3.17B$4.14B$4.13B$4.22B$4.26B$4.35B$4.42B$4.09B$3.95B$3.80B$3.59B
Net Income$8.2M$8.2M$-128.0M$247.4M$101.9M$215.6M$-158.7M$130.6M$107.1M$101.3M$39.4M$127.3M$91.1M$208.4M$50.0M$100.0M$53.0M
EBITDA$214.8M$214.8M$179.4M$452.0M$330.7M$472.3M$5.3M$387.9M$346.8M$331.0M$317.6M$421.3M$382.9M$389.5M$336.6M$367.1M$325.2M
EPS0.100.10-1.492.561.032.00-1.851.451.14—————0.440.940.50
Gross Margin13.3%13.3%15.2%17.3%16.8%————————————
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%5.2%7.6%7.8%7.5%-5.5%4.6%3.5%3.3%2.9%5.3%4.3%5.5%4.6%5.6%4.7%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%-3.2%5.9%2.5%5.2%-5.0%3.2%2.6%2.4%0.9%2.9%2.1%5.1%1.3%2.6%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity6.036.0316.794.977.963.61240.726.0023.35————————
Current Ratio0.260.26———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$96.8M$96.8M$7.4M$250.2M$198.1M$279.6M$51.0M$155.7M$79.8M$148.4M$80.0M$184.9M$114.1M$140.1M$161.4M$201.5M$214.7M
Returns
ROE2.5%2.5%-94.5%60.5%37.6%99.6%-3829.1%76.7%234.2%144.0%21.6%31.2%16.5%43.6%23.3%324.2%—
Valuation
P/E33.9233.92—10.3721.04————————————
EV/EBITDA12.3112.3118.129.9212.73————————————
P/B2.082.087.726.267.87————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.1%0.1%-5.2%4.0%—30.0%-23.4%0.3%-2.3%-0.9%-2.1%-1.5%8.0%3.6%3.8%5.8%—
EPS Growth106.7%106.7%-158.2%148.5%—208.1%-227.6%27.2%——————-53.2%88.0%—
Dividend Yield7.4%7.4%———————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

93.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

13.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

54.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

52.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

30.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

76.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.1%

Total return

+14.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.49 → 0.10

Residual

+6.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+7.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+6.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.