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BONAV-A.ST$9.05-1.09%
Fair $9.05+0.0%

BONAV-A.ST

Bonava AB (publ)

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionStockholm

$9.05

-0.10 (-1.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.05Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $374.0M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · BONAV-A.STLocal privado en este navegador · Bonava AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

17.7x

↑

ROE

-1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

12.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$9
$9$14

TradingView lightweight chart

BONAV-A.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.050Periodo -91.6%
Fair value: $9.050

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-18.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

-4.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.72B · net income $-89.0M · FCF $374.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.8%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

4.7%-1.4% pts

Net margin

-1.2%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+28.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.72B$7.72B$8.19B$13.27B$13.99B
Net Income$-89.0M$-89.0M$-518.0M$-1.34B$-303.0M
EBITDA$358.0M$358.0M$76.0M$-517.0M$963.0M
EPS-0.28-0.28-1.85-7.09-1.60
Gross Margin12.8%12.8%8.3%10.7%12.1%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%0.3%5.0%6.1%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%-6.3%-10.1%-2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.600.880.87
Current Ratio2.062.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$374.0M$374.0M$521.0M$-546.0M$-3.35B
Returns
ROE-1.3%-1.3%-7.2%-20.3%-3.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA17.6817.6884.48—13.82
P/B0.420.420.380.400.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.7%-5.7%-38.2%-5.1%—
EPS Growth84.9%84.9%73.9%-342.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.8%

Total return

-25.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.85 → -0.28

Residual

-25.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.