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BVSAN.IS$132.40+5.58%
Fair $132.40+0.0%

BVSAN.IS

Bulbuloglu Vinc Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryIstanbul

$132.40

+7.00 (+5.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $132.40Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-527.0M · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · BVSAN.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Bulbuloglu Vinc Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

27.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

26.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.29

↓
52-Week Range$132
$81$166

TradingView lightweight chart

BVSAN.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $132.40Periodo +253.1%
Fair value: $132.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.7%

FCF / Net income

-2.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.15B · net income $182.1M · FCF $-527.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.8%+9.8% pts

Operating margin

15.3%+1.7% pts

Net margin

5.8%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

-16.7%-13.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.15B$3.15B$3.59B$3.06B$1.98B
Net Income$182.1M$182.1M$497.4M$355.8M$63.7M
EBITDA$785.1M$785.1M$587.6M$543.9M$273.6M
EPS4.844.8413.239.461.70
Gross Margin26.8%26.8%21.1%23.1%17.0%
Operating Margin15.3%15.3%12.6%15.6%13.5%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%13.9%11.6%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.150.100.05
Current Ratio1.351.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-527.0M$-527.0M$-427.1M$-662.1M$-55.3M
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%20.5%23.7%11.5%
Valuation
P/E27.3627.366.988.73—
EV/EBITDA7.027.026.205.55—
P/B2.022.021.432.07—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.2%-12.2%17.2%54.6%—
EPS Growth-63.4%-63.4%39.8%458.2%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

34.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.75

Spread vs growth

-97.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$14.22

Spread vs growth

-87.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$22.89

Spread vs growth

-80.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.3%

Total return

+50.3%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 27.4x

EPS bridge

13.23 → 4.84

Residual

-195.8%

EPS growth-63.4%
Multiple rerating+308.7%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-195.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.