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CAS.TO$10.80-1.55%
Fair $10.80+0.0%

CAS.TO

Cascades Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersToronto

$10.80

-0.17 (-1.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.80Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $159.0M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CAS.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Cascades Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

10.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

40.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.13

↑
52-Week Range$11
$9$14

TradingView lightweight chart

CAS.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.80Periodo +24.1%
Fair value: $10.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

3.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.78B · net income $70.0M · FCF $227.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.8%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

6.2%+3.0% pts

Net margin

1.5%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+12.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.78B$4.78B$4.70B$4.64B$4.47B
Net Income$70.0M$70.0M$-31.0M$-76.0M$-34.0M
EBITDA$534.0M$534.0M$392.0M$330.0M$293.0M
EPS0.690.69-0.31-0.76-0.34
Gross Margin40.8%40.8%39.4%40.9%36.5%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%4.3%5.9%3.2%
Net Margin1.5%1.5%-0.7%-1.6%-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.131.131.231.111.11
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$227.0M$227.0M$88.0M$159.0M$-362.0M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%-1.8%-4.4%-1.8%
Valuation
P/E10.8010.80———
EV/EBITDA5.605.608.509.619.83
P/B0.630.630.720.740.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.6%1.6%1.4%3.9%—
EPS Growth322.6%322.6%59.2%-123.5%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.96

Spread vs growth

311.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.16

Spread vs growth

311.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.87

Spread vs growth

312.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.6%

Total return

+26.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.31 → 0.69

Residual

+22.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.