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CAV.WA$13.10+3.15%
Fair $13.10+0.0%

CAV.WA

Cavatina Holding Spólka Akcyjna

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentWarsaw

$13.10

+0.40 (+3.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.10Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 7.0/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CAV.WALocal privado en este navegador · Cavatina Holding Spólka Akcyjna
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$333M

P/E

13.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.4x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

46.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.91

↑
52-Week Range$13
$12$16

TradingView lightweight chart

CAV.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.10Periodo -46.0%
Fair value: $13.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+51.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-76.4%

FCF / Net income

-66.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $290.0M · net income $3.3M · FCF $-221.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.4%+12.2% pts

Operating margin

33.6%+54.9% pts

Net margin

1.2%-31.7% pts

FCF margin

-76.4%+892.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$290.0M$290.0M$132.3M$154.9M$82.7M
Net Income$3.3M$3.3M$10.8M$90.5M$27.1M
EBITDA$125.5M$125.5M$116.7M$202.6M$69.6M
EPS0.130.130.433.561.07
Gross Margin46.4%46.4%52.3%31.6%34.1%
Operating Margin33.6%33.6%18.9%-1.7%-21.3%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%8.2%58.4%32.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.911.911.611.481.19
Current Ratio2.152.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-221.4M$-221.4M$-142.3M$-434.5M$-801.5M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%0.9%7.7%2.5%
Valuation
P/E13.5113.5131.164.4419.16
EV/EBITDA20.3720.3719.1310.2725.22
P/B0.280.280.290.340.48
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth119.2%119.2%-14.6%87.3%—
EPS Growth-69.8%-69.8%-87.9%232.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

107.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.16

Spread vs growth

-177.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

61.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

-130.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.27

Spread vs growth

-102.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.1%

Total return

-19.1%

Start / end P/E

37.7x → 100.8x

EPS bridge

0.43 → 0.13

Residual

-116.8%

EPS growth-69.8%
Multiple rerating+167.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-116.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.