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Financial Analysis

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CDG.MI$3.00+1.00%
Fair $3.00+0.0%

CDG.MI

Casta Diva Group S.p.A.

Communication Services / EntertainmentMilan

$3.00

+0.03 (+1.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.00Fund rank 16/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.4M · quality 13.7/100

Data gap 16/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.19, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · CDG.MILocal privado en este navegador · Casta Diva Group S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$62M

P/E

101.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

↑

ROE

9.6%

↑

Gross Margin

20.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.19

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

CDG.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.030Periodo +3.5%
Fair value: $3.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+61.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

-5.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $123.0M · net income $937580.0 · FCF $-5.4M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

20.9%-3.5% pts

Operating margin

4.6%+2.1% pts

Net margin

0.8%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$123.0M$123.0M$111.4M$84.0M$29.3M
Net Income$937580.00$937580.00$1.6M$1.5M$437149.00
EBITDA$9.0M$9.0M$8.6M$6.3M$1.3M
EPS0.050.050.080.080.02
Gross Margin20.9%20.9%19.2%19.0%24.4%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%5.2%5.0%2.5%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%1.5%1.8%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.193.192.482.141.24
Current Ratio1.431.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.4M$-5.4M$-10.5M$5.4M$-60139.00
Returns
ROE9.6%9.6%19.0%19.5%7.1%
Valuation
P/E101.00101.0015.798.9214.85
EV/EBITDA8.598.594.171.908.02
P/B6.256.253.001.741.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%32.7%186.7%—
EPS Growth-42.6%-42.6%8.6%241.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

78.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.27

Spread vs growth

-120.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.32

Spread vs growth

-89.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

-69.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +134.9%

Total return

+134.9%

Start / end P/E

15.7x → 64.2x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.05

Residual

-132.0%

EPS growth-42.6%
Multiple rerating+309.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-132.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.