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CDGP.L$45.50+4.60%
Fair $45.50+0.0%

CDGP.L

Chapel Down Group Plc

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesLSE

$45.50

+2.00 (+4.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $45.50Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.7M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CDGP.LLocal privado en este navegador · Chapel Down Group Plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$78M

P/E

35000.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4811.0x

↑

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

47.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.68

↑
52-Week Range$46
$30$47

TradingView lightweight chart

CDGP.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $45.50Periodo -19.5%
Fair value: $45.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.2%

FCF / Net income

-6.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.4M · net income $230000.0 · FCF $-1.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.1%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

7.7%-3.1% pts

Net margin

1.2%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

-7.2%+10.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19.4M$19.4M$16.4M$17.2M$15.0M
Net Income$230000.00$230000.00$-1.3M$1.5M$784374.00
EBITDA$1.6M$1.6M$-513000.00$2.8M$1.6M
EPS0.000.00-0.010.010.00
Gross Margin47.1%47.1%48.4%51.8%51.4%
Operating Margin7.7%7.7%1.9%21.4%10.8%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%-8.0%8.9%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.680.680.600.300.29
Current Ratio5.285.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.4M$-1.4M$-6.3M$-3.7M$-2.7M
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%-4.0%4.4%2.4%
Valuation
P/E35000.0035000.00—7765.96—
EV/EBITDA4810.974810.97—4153.06—
P/B238.61238.61198.89343.81—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.9%18.9%-4.9%14.7%—
EPS Growth117.1%117.1%-180.9%90.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1359.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.04

Spread vs growth

-1241.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

418.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.89

Spread vs growth

-301.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

138.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.87

Spread vs growth

-21.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.1%

Total return

+1.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → 0.00

Residual

+1.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.