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CED.MI$2.18+0.46%
Fair $2.18+0.0%

CED.MI

Caltagirone Editore SpA

Communication Services / PublishingMilan

$2.18

+0.01 (+0.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.18Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.3M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CED.MILocal privado en este navegador · Caltagirone Editore SpA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$233M

P/E

218.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

132.4x

↑

ROE

0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

91.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

CED.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.180Periodo -86.1%
Fair value: $2.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

-5.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $98.5M · net income $626000.0 · FCF $-3.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

91.5%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

-8.1%-5.7% pts

Net margin

0.6%-5.7% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%-4.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$98.5M$98.5M$102.2M$108.7M$109.9M
Net Income$626000.00$626000.00$8.2M$16.2M$7.0M
EBITDA$2.0M$2.0M$7.6M$22.1M$9.9M
EPS0.010.010.080.150.07
Gross Margin91.5%91.5%91.0%89.7%89.6%
Operating Margin-8.1%-8.1%-6.3%-1.5%-2.4%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%8.0%14.9%6.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.050.050.06
Current Ratio0.610.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.4M$-3.4M$-1.3M$644000.00$1.1M
Returns
ROE0.1%0.1%1.6%3.7%1.8%
Valuation
P/E218.00218.0017.736.4514.67
EV/EBITDA132.37132.3722.154.9510.33
P/B0.340.340.280.240.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%-5.9%-1.1%—
EPS Growth-92.2%-92.2%-49.3%130.3%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

218.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-310.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

108.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.23

Spread vs growth

-200.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

51.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

-143.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +32.0%

Total return

+32.0%

Start / end P/E

21.8x → 363.3x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.01

Residual

-1447.9%

EPS growth-92.2%
Multiple rerating+1570.2%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1447.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.