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Financial Analysis

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CFL.MI$1.96+2.35%
Fair $1.96+0.0%

CFL.MI

Cofle S.p.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsMilan

$1.96

+0.05 (+2.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.96Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.0M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -21.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CFL.MILocal privado en este navegador · Cofle S.p.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

4.0x

↓

ROE

-21.9%

↓

Gross Margin

58.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

CFL.MI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.960Periodo -89.0%
Fair value: $1.960

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-13.3%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $60.6M · net income $-5.3M · FCF $-8.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

58.0%-6.0% pts

Operating margin

0.0%-19.3% pts

Net margin

-8.7%-24.0% pts

FCF margin

-13.3%-17.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$60.6M$60.6M$62.3M$56.7M$53.9M
Net Income$-5.3M$-5.3M$359676.00$2.3M$8.2M
EBITDA$6.4M$6.4M$12.7M$13.2M$14.6M
EPS-0.87-0.870.060.371.53
Gross Margin58.0%58.0%61.1%61.6%64.0%
Operating Margin0.0%0.0%11.3%14.9%19.3%
Net Margin-8.7%-8.7%0.6%4.0%15.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.870.710.45
Current Ratio1.411.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.1M$-8.1M$-4.0M$-1.9M$2.3M
Returns
ROE-21.9%-21.9%1.3%8.2%33.4%
Valuation
P/E——140.9835.5110.31
EV/EBITDA4.024.024.386.135.53
P/B0.490.491.902.923.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.8%-2.8%9.9%5.3%—
EPS Growth-1594.8%-1594.8%-84.3%-75.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.0%

Total return

-31.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.06 → -0.87

Residual

-31.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.