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CGAS.JK$173.00+0.58%
Fair $173.00+0.0%

CGAS.JK

CGAS.JK

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingJakarta

$173.00

+1.00 (+0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $173.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-23.3B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · CGAS.JKLocal privado en este navegador · CGAS.JK
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$306.5B

P/E

17.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.9x

↑

ROE

5.4%

↑

Gross Margin

17.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$173
$85$236

TradingView lightweight chart

CGAS.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $173.00Periodo -59.0%
Fair value: $173.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $611.90B · net income $14.21B · FCF $-23.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.4%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

3.6%-0.3% pts

Net margin

2.3%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

-3.8%-9.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$611.90B$611.90B$508.50B$377.59B$423.55B
Net Income$14.21B$14.21B$9.41B$8.14B$11.33B
EBITDA$29.39B$29.39B$22.19B$17.02B$20.37B
EPS8.028.025.314.603.74
Gross Margin17.4%17.4%16.1%19.4%18.6%
Operating Margin3.6%3.6%1.3%2.3%3.9%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%1.9%2.2%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.080.500.63
Current Ratio2.482.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-23.26B$-23.26B$-45.85B$6.75B$22.46B
Returns
ROE5.4%5.4%3.7%11.4%16.9%
Valuation
P/E17.2817.2819.20107.03—
EV/EBITDA9.889.883.9052.23—
P/B1.161.160.7112.20—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.3%20.3%34.7%-10.9%—
EPS Growth51.0%51.0%15.6%22.9%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.35

Spread vs growth

26.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$18.57

Spread vs growth

32.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$29.91

Spread vs growth

37.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +83.6%

Total return

+83.6%

Start / end P/E

17.9x → 21.6x

EPS bridge

5.31 → 8.02

Residual

+10.5%

EPS growth+51.0%
Multiple rerating+20.6%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.