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CGR.JO$451.00-0.22%
Fair $451.00+0.0%

CGR.JO

Calgro M3 Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionJohannesburg

$451.00

-1.00 (-0.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $451.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 1/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $33.3M · quality 36.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · CGR.JOLocal privado en este navegador · Calgro M3 Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$430M

P/E

2.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

10.2%

↑

Gross Margin

27.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.89

↑
52-Week Range$451
$391$575

TradingView lightweight chart

CGR.JO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $451.00Periodo +37.1%
Fair value: $451.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $893.2M · net income $160.2M · FCF $-99.9M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

27.2%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

17.2%+0.8% pts

Net margin

17.9%+5.7% pts

FCF margin

-11.2%-11.2% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$893.2M$893.2M$868.9M$1.29B$1.53B
Net Income$160.2M$160.2M$165.0M$195.7M$186.2M
EBITDA$255.1M$255.1M$277.0M$332.3M$300.3M
EPS——1.681.881.47
Gross Margin27.2%27.2%29.4%27.2%23.5%
Operating Margin17.2%17.2%18.2%19.3%16.4%
Net Margin17.9%17.9%19.0%15.2%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.890.890.790.750.77
Current Ratio7.807.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-99.9M$-99.9M$33.3M$90.5M$870531.00
Returns
ROE10.2%10.2%11.5%15.4%16.3%
Valuation
P/E2.732.73303.54247.39186.53
EV/EBITDA——184.30148.20117.98
P/B——35.0138.0130.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%-32.7%-15.4%—
EPS Growth——-10.6%27.5%—
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.6%

Total return

-14.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.68 → n/d

Residual

-16.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.