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Financial Analysis

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CGTL$0.39-21.40%
Fair $0.39+0.0%

CGTL

Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailNasdaqCM

$0.39

-0.11 (-21.40%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.39Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.5M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -74.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CGTLLocal privado en este navegador · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-74.1%

↓

Gross Margin

10.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$6

TradingView lightweight chart

CGTL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.393Periodo -89.9%
Fair value: $0.393

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-22.7%

FCF / Net income

0.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.2M · net income $-13.4M · FCF $-4.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.8%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

-62.2%-76.7% pts

Net margin

-63.2%-75.4% pts

FCF margin

-22.7%-25.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.2M$21.2M$35.6M$50.3M$27.9M
Net Income$-13.4M$-13.4M$4.3M$3.2M$3.4M
EBITDA$-13.1M$-13.1M$5.3M$3.8M$4.0M
EPS-0.57-0.57—0.130.14
Gross Margin10.8%10.8%17.8%9.9%16.0%
Operating Margin-62.2%-62.2%14.6%7.5%14.5%
Net Margin-63.2%-63.2%12.0%6.3%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.01—0.16
Current Ratio72.5472.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-4.8M$-4.8M$-3.5M$4.9M$637345.00
Returns
ROE-74.1%-74.1%31.8%34.3%56.6%
Valuation
P/B0.510.51———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-40.6%-40.6%-29.2%80.5%—
EPS Growth———-7.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -59.3%

Total return

-59.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → -0.57

Residual

-59.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-59.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.