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CHI.NZ$3.12+0.00%
Fair $3.12+0.0%

CHI.NZ

Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingNZSE

$3.12

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.12Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.3M · quality 41.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CHI.NZLocal privado en este navegador · Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

62.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.3x

↑

ROE

1.5%

↓

Gross Margin

87.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.43

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

CHI.NZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.120Periodo +279.2%
Fair value: $3.120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

17.8%

FCF / Net income

2.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $136.4M · net income $11.8M · FCF $24.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

87.1%-8.5% pts

Operating margin

32.6%-4.6% pts

Net margin

8.6%-4.9% pts

FCF margin

17.8%+98.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$136.4M$136.4M$139.8M$130.7M$88.2M
Net Income$11.8M$11.8M$13.9M$24.1M$12.0M
EBITDA$93.5M$93.5M$95.0M$87.4M$57.6M
EPS0.030.030.040.060.03
Gross Margin87.1%87.1%93.6%93.5%95.6%
Operating Margin32.6%32.6%40.5%39.6%37.2%
Net Margin8.6%8.6%9.9%18.4%13.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.370.640.50
Current Ratio1.031.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24.2M$24.2M$12.3M$-21.3M$-70.9M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%1.7%4.8%2.3%
Valuation
P/E62.4062.4051.3522.5244.72
EV/EBITDA17.2617.2610.759.7913.70
P/B1.641.640.881.081.03
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.5%-2.5%7.0%48.1%—
EPS Growth-21.6%-21.6%-41.7%100.0%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

112.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.28

Spread vs growth

-133.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

63.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.33

Spread vs growth

-84.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

34.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-55.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.6%

Total return

+50.6%

Start / end P/E

57.6x → 107.6x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.03

Residual

-18.8%

EPS growth-21.6%
Multiple rerating+86.9%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.