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CIEN$569.61-1.83%
Fair $569.61+0.0%

CIEN

Ciena Corporation

Technology / Communication EquipmentNYSE

$569.61

-10.62 (-1.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $569.61Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $377.9M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 1unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CIENLocal privado en este navegador · Ciena Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$80.5B

P/E

362.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

214.4x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

42.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.60

↑
52-Week Range$570
$71$606

TradingView lightweight chart

CIEN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $569.61Periodo +192.6%
Fair value: $569.61

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

+12.7%

FCF margin

13.9%

FCF / Net income

5.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.77B · net income $123.3M · FCF $665.3M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.0%-7.9% pts

Operating margin

6.5%+4.1% pts

Net margin

2.6%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

13.9%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$4.77B$4.77B$4.01B$4.39B$3.63B$3.62B$3.53B—$3.09B$2.80B$2.60B$2.45B$2.29B$2.08B$1.83B$1.74B$1.24B$652.6M$902.4M
Net Income$123.3M$123.3M$84.0M$254.8M$152.9M$500.2M$361.3M—$-344.7M$1.26B$72.6M$11.7M$-40.6M$-85.4M$-144.0M$-195.5M$-333.5M$-581.2M$38.9M
EBITDA$388.4M$388.4M$351.9M$558.9M$375.7M——————————————
EPS0.850.850.581.711.003.192.32—-2.497.530.510.10-0.38-0.83-1.45-2.04-3.58-6.370.42
Gross Margin42.0%42.0%42.8%42.8%43.0%47.6%46.8%—42.5%44.5%44.7%44.0%41.4%41.5%39.5%40.7%40.2%43.6%50.0%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%4.8%8.8%7.1%13.7%13.8%—7.4%7.7%6.0%4.1%2.0%-0.1%-4.4%-9.4%-26.0%-88.8%2.4%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%2.1%5.8%4.2%13.8%10.2%—-11.1%45.0%2.8%0.5%-1.8%-4.1%-7.9%-11.2%-27.0%-89.0%4.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.580.580.440.220.27——0.271.332.05-18.31-14.66—————
Current Ratio2.812.81—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$665.3M$665.3M$377.9M$62.1M$-258.6M$462.1M$411.0M—$161.6M$140.3M$182.3M$200.0M$41.6M$864000.00$59.0M$-142.9M$-280.2M$-16.7M$87.6M
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%3.0%8.9%5.6%16.6%14.4%—-17.9%59.1%9.5%1.9%58.4%103.3%161.9%-1409.4%-209.4%-127.5%—
Valuation
P/E362.81362.81123.9825.6745.95——————————————
EV/EBITDA214.39214.3931.8112.8919.13——————————————
P/B30.3130.313.732.302.58——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.8%18.8%-8.5%20.8%—2.5%——10.4%7.7%6.3%6.9%9.9%13.6%5.3%40.9%89.5%-27.7%—
EPS Growth46.6%46.6%-66.1%71.0%—37.5%——-133.1%1376.5%410.0%126.3%54.2%42.8%28.9%43.0%43.8%-1616.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

290.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$50.54

Spread vs growth

-243.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

135.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$61.16

Spread vs growth

-88.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

60.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$98.49

Spread vs growth

-14.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +611.5%

Total return

+611.5%

Start / end P/E

138.0x → 670.1x

EPS bridge

0.58 → 0.85

Residual

+179.4%

EPS growth+46.6%
Multiple rerating+385.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+179.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.