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v0.1
CLFD$48.24+2.16%
Fair $48.24+0.0%

CLFD

Clearfield, Inc.

Technology / Communication EquipmentNasdaqGM

$48.24

+1.02 (+2.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $48.24Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $17.2M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 16Warnings: 1unknown: 16
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CLFDLocal privado en este navegador · Clearfield, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$656M

P/E

209.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

44.8x

↑

ROE

-3.1%

↓

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$48
$24$53

TradingView lightweight chart

CLFD price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $48.24Periodo +255.7%
Fair value: $48.24

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2025 · 15 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.9%

FCF CAGR

+37.9%

FCF margin

14.5%

FCF / Net income

-2.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $150.1M · net income $-8.1M · FCF $21.8M

2010-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%-3.8% pts

Operating margin

1.4%-3.2% pts

Net margin

-5.4%-10.2% pts

FCF margin

14.5%+13.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$150.1M$150.1M$125.6M$225.7M$270.9M$140.8M$93.1M$85.0M$77.7M$73.9M$75.3M$60.3M$58.0M$53.4M$37.5M$35.2M$24.4M
Net Income$-8.1M$-8.1M$-12.5M$32.5M$49.4M$20.3M$7.3M$4.6M$4.3M$3.8M$8.0M$4.7M$5.4M$4.7M$7.7M$6.2M$1.2M
EBITDA$14.8M$14.8M$-5.8M$47.4M$67.6M$27.5M$10.8M$7.4M$7.1M$6.9M$12.2M$8.3M$9.2M$7.9M$4.7M$4.1M$1.6M
EPS-0.58-0.58-0.852.173.551.470.530.340.320.280.590.340.400.360.600.480.09
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%20.6%35.4%41.7%43.5%40.7%38.4%39.9%40.9%43.7%41.2%42.4%41.2%40.8%41.7%37.5%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%-15.3%16.6%23.6%17.9%9.0%6.1%6.5%7.2%14.3%11.7%14.7%14.0%11.4%10.6%4.6%
Net Margin-5.4%-5.4%-9.9%14.4%18.2%14.4%7.8%5.4%5.5%5.2%10.6%7.8%9.4%8.9%20.6%17.5%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.050.220.00———————————
Current Ratio12.8412.84———————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.8M$21.8M$9.8M$17.2M$-6.9M—$4.8M$12.2M$3.4M$4.3M$10.0M$2.3M$10.1M$3.3M$3.3M$4.6M$176670.00
Returns
ROE-3.1%-3.1%-4.5%10.3%33.4%19.6%8.8%6.1%6.2%6.0%12.8%9.1%11.6%11.8%22.2%23.5%6.1%
Valuation
P/E209.74209.74—12.3627.89————————————
EV/EBITDA44.7744.77—8.0520.61————————————
P/B2.632.631.971.289.33————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.6%19.6%-44.4%-16.7%—51.2%9.5%9.5%5.0%-1.8%24.8%3.9%8.8%42.4%6.5%44.4%—
EPS Growth31.8%31.8%-139.2%-38.9%—177.4%55.9%6.3%14.3%-52.5%73.5%-15.0%11.1%-40.0%25.0%433.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +30.0%

Total return

+30.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.85 → -0.58

Residual

+30.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+30.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.