StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
CMG.TO$3.95+1.80%
Fair $3.95+0.0%

CMG.TO

Computer Modelling Group Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationToronto

$3.95

+0.07 (+1.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.95Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $28.7M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CMG.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Computer Modelling Group Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$308M

P/E

18.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

22.2%

↑

Gross Margin

81.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.55

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

CMG.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.950Periodo +10433.3%
Fair value: $3.950

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.6%

FCF CAGR

+6.4%

FCF margin

22.8%

FCF / Net income

1.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $126.2M · net income $17.4M · FCF $28.7M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

81.7%-8.1% pts

Operating margin

21.4%-13.6% pts

Net margin

13.8%-13.0% pts

FCF margin

22.8%-9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$126.2M$126.2M$129.4M$108.7M$73.8M
Net Income$17.4M$17.4M$22.4M$26.3M$19.8M
EBITDA$36.5M$36.5M$43.2M$42.8M$32.2M
EPS——0.270.320.24
Gross Margin81.7%81.7%80.7%84.2%89.9%
Operating Margin21.4%21.4%26.4%31.3%35.0%
Net Margin13.8%13.8%17.3%24.2%26.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.550.550.450.550.72
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.7M$28.7M$28.5M$35.4M$23.8M
Returns
ROE22.2%22.2%26.1%38.7%37.7%
Valuation
P/E18.8118.8127.9331.5328.87
EV/EBITDA9.169.1614.4118.9716.84
P/B4.024.027.3212.3710.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.5%-2.5%19.1%47.2%—
EPS Growth——-15.6%33.3%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.2%

Total return

-40.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.27 → n/d

Residual

-41.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-41.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.