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CNR.TO$165.14+1.16%
Fair $165.14+0.0%

CNR.TO

Canadian National Railway Company

Industrials / RailroadsToronto

$165.14

+1.89 (+1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $165.14Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.4B · quality 71.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CNR.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Canadian National Railway Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$100.2B

P/E

21.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.6x

↑

ROE

21.9%

↑

Gross Margin

42.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.00

↑
52-Week Range$165
$126$166

TradingView lightweight chart

CNR.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $165.14Periodo +2607.2%
Fair value: $165.14

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.4%

FCF CAGR

-4.7%

FCF margin

19.6%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.30B · net income $4.72B · FCF $3.39B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

42.4%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

38.1%-1.9% pts

Net margin

27.3%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

19.6%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.30B$17.30B$17.05B$16.83B$17.11B
Net Income$4.72B$4.72B$4.45B$5.63B$5.12B
EBITDA$9.12B$9.12B$8.63B$9.03B$9.04B
EPS7.577.577.018.537.44
Gross Margin42.4%42.4%40.9%42.5%43.2%
Operating Margin38.1%38.1%37.1%39.2%40.0%
Net Margin27.3%27.3%26.1%33.4%29.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.001.001.020.940.74
Current Ratio0.670.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.39B$3.39B$3.15B$3.78B$3.92B
Returns
ROE21.9%21.9%21.1%28.0%23.9%
Valuation
P/E21.7621.7621.1419.7222.10
EV/EBITDA13.6313.6313.3214.3214.24
P/B4.784.784.475.515.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.5%1.5%1.3%-1.6%—
EPS Growth8.0%8.0%-17.8%14.7%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$14.65

Spread vs growth

-16.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$17.73

Spread vs growth

-10.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$28.56

Spread vs growth

-6.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.7%

Total return

+16.7%

Start / end P/E

20.6x → 21.8x

EPS bridge

7.01 → 7.57

Residual

+0.5%

EPS growth+8.0%
Multiple rerating+6.0%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.