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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
CODX$6.20-27.32%
Fair $6.20+0.0%

CODX

Co-Diagnostics, Inc.

Healthcare / Medical DevicesNasdaqCM

$6.20

-2.33 (-27.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.20Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-29.8M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 10Warnings: 3unknown: 10
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 4 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 5 consecutive years ROE is -2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CODXLocal privado en este navegador · Co-Diagnostics, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-227.3%

↓

Gross Margin

64.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$6
$1$47

TradingView lightweight chart

CODX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.200Periodo -96.4%
Fair value: $6.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2016–2025 · 9 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4793.2%

FCF / Net income

0.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $622489.0 · net income $-46.9M · FCF $-29.8M

2016-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.3%— pts

Operating margin

-5025.5%— pts

Net margin

-7533.6%— pts

FCF margin

-4793.2%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Income Statement
Revenue$622489.00$622489.00$3.9M$6.8M$34.2M$97.9M$74.6M$214974.00$39911.00$7662.00—
Net Income$-46.9M$-46.9M$-37.6M$-35.3M$-14.2M$36.7M$42.5M$-6.2M$-6.3M$-7.0M$-1.9M
EBITDA$-30.2M$-30.2M$-38.7M$-41.5M$-10.3M$46.4M$41.8M$-5.8M$-6.1M$-4.5M$-1.7M
EPS-35.25-35.25-37.22-36.00-13.5036.9045.60-11.10———
Gross Margin64.3%64.3%74.5%38.6%84.0%88.2%77.7%47.7%76.5%96.1%—
Operating Margin-5025.5%-5025.5%-1023.7%-626.9%-33.9%47.1%55.9%-2741.6%-15328.6%-59567.6%—
Net Margin-7533.6%-7533.6%-961.4%-518.7%-41.6%37.5%57.0%-2882.0%-15714.3%-90827.9%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.040.030.00———-1.80——
Current Ratio2.282.28—————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-29.8M$-29.8M$-29.9M$-23.4M$5.1M$40.4M$27.4M$-5.6M$-4.1M$-3.3M$-1.3M
Returns
ROE-227.3%-227.3%-69.9%-41.1%-12.4%27.3%63.7%-356.6%592.3%-180.7%64.4%
Valuation
P/B0.400.400.440.440.70——————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-84.1%-84.1%-42.5%-80.1%—31.3%34579.9%438.6%420.9%——
EPS Growth5.3%5.3%-3.4%-166.7%—-19.1%510.8%————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.3%

Total return

-19.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-37.22 → -35.25

Residual

-19.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.