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COGN3.SA$2.47-1.20%
Fair $2.47+0.0%

COGN3.SA

Cogna Educação S.A.

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesSão Paulo

$2.47

-0.03 (-1.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.47Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $457.4M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · COGN3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Cogna Educação S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

7.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

68.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.49

↑
52-Week Range$2
$0$5

TradingView lightweight chart

COGN3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.500Periodo -3.3%
Fair value: $2.470

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.0%

FCF / Net income

1.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.02B · net income $625.5M · FCF $770.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.8%+5.1% pts

Operating margin

18.8%+8.6% pts

Net margin

8.9%+19.5% pts

FCF margin

11.0%+17.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.02B$7.02B$6.39B$5.81B$5.00B
Net Income$625.5M$625.5M$879.9M$-492.9M$-528.9M
EBITDA$2.40B$2.40B$2.55B$1.81B$1.61B
EPS0.340.340.46-0.23-0.26
Gross Margin68.8%68.8%66.9%63.7%63.7%
Operating Margin18.8%18.8%21.3%12.9%10.2%
Net Margin8.9%8.9%13.8%-8.5%-10.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.490.490.550.670.67
Current Ratio1.651.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$770.0M$770.0M$457.4M$223.2M$-324.2M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%7.1%-4.2%-4.3%
Valuation
P/E7.267.262.13——
EV/EBITDA4.664.663.397.417.46
P/B0.340.340.150.540.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.8%9.8%9.9%16.2%—
EPS Growth-26.1%-26.1%302.4%11.2%—
Dividend Yield7.6%7.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.22

Spread vs growth

-12.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.27

Spread vs growth

-21.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.43

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.6%

Total return

+1.6%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 7.3x

EPS bridge

0.46 → 0.34

Residual

-7.1%

EPS growth-26.1%
Multiple rerating+27.2%
Dividend+7.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.