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CONCHATORO.SN$885.00-1.01%
Fair $885.00+0.0%

CONCHATORO.SN

Viña Concha y Toro S.A.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSantiago

$885.00

-9.00 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $885.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $23.3B · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CONCHATORO.SNLocal privado en este navegador · Viña Concha y Toro S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$654.0B

P/E

10.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.3x

↑

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

38.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$885
$815$1184

TradingView lightweight chart

CONCHATORO.SN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $885.00Periodo +111.0%
Fair value: $885.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

0.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $975.33B · net income $67.22B · FCF $23.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.6%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

10.2%-1.7% pts

Net margin

6.9%-3.1% pts

FCF margin

2.4%+8.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$975.33B$975.33B$958.63B$837.21B$870.58B
Net Income$67.22B$67.22B$77.42B$43.13B$87.21B
EBITDA$104.58B$104.58B$120.77B$68.88B$111.04B
EPS90.9690.96104.7658.36118.01
Gross Margin38.6%38.6%38.9%37.0%39.3%
Operating Margin10.2%10.2%11.9%7.3%11.8%
Net Margin6.9%6.9%8.1%5.2%10.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.580.640.55
Current Ratio1.641.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$23.26B$23.26B$105.44B$-9.54B$-56.25B
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%9.5%5.6%11.5%
Valuation
P/E10.5110.5110.3117.548.88
EV/EBITDA10.3310.3310.1317.6910.40
P/B0.760.760.980.981.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%14.5%-3.8%—
EPS Growth-13.2%-13.2%79.5%-50.5%—
Dividend Yield5.1%5.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$78.53

Spread vs growth

-8.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$95.02

Spread vs growth

-14.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$153.03

Spread vs growth

-18.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.7%

Total return

-18.7%

Start / end P/E

11.1x → 9.7x

EPS bridge

104.76 → 90.96

Residual

+1.6%

EPS growth-13.2%
Multiple rerating-12.3%
Dividend+5.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.