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CONFIPET.NS$63.47-6.34%
Fair $63.47+0.0%

CONFIPET.NS

Confidence Petroleum India Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingNSE

$63.47

-4.30 (-6.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $63.47Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · CONFIPET.NSLocal privado en este navegador · Confidence Petroleum India Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21.1B

P/E

25.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

11.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.58

↑
52-Week Range$63
$28$70

TradingView lightweight chart

CONFIPET.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $63.47Periodo +120.0%
Fair value: $63.47

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.3%

FCF / Net income

-3.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.46B · net income $866.2M · FCF $-2.62B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.3%-5.0% pts

Operating margin

4.8%-3.6% pts

Net margin

2.8%-3.4% pts

FCF margin

-8.3%-15.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.46B$31.46B$26.98B$22.05B$14.28B
Net Income$866.2M$866.2M$1.01B$809.5M$878.4M
EBITDA$3.64B$3.64B$3.68B$2.21B$1.90B
EPS2.602.603.302.803.09
Gross Margin11.3%11.3%13.3%14.2%16.3%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%7.4%6.0%8.4%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%3.8%3.7%6.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.580.580.540.510.14
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.62B$-2.62B$179.0M$-1.25B$1.03B
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%8.6%10.0%12.6%
Valuation
P/E24.9924.9929.3922.6121.45
EV/EBITDA7.497.499.4910.1110.35
P/B1.591.592.522.272.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.6%16.6%22.4%54.4%—
EPS Growth-21.2%-21.2%17.9%-9.5%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

29.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.63

Spread vs growth

-50.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.81

Spread vs growth

-42.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$10.97

Spread vs growth

-36.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.7%

Total return

+4.7%

Start / end P/E

18.4x → 24.4x

EPS bridge

3.30 → 2.60

Residual

-6.9%

EPS growth-21.2%
Multiple rerating+32.7%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.