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v0.1
COST.NE$42.40-0.98%
Fair $42.40+0.0%

COST.NE

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Consumer Defensive / Discount StoresCboe CA

$42.40

-0.42 (-0.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $42.40Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.7B · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · COST.NELocal privado en este navegador · Costco Wholesale Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$581.1B

P/E

49.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

27.8%

↑

Gross Margin

12.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$42
$38$49

TradingView lightweight chart

COST.NE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $42.40Periodo +64.4%
Fair value: $42.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.6%

FCF CAGR

+30.8%

FCF margin

2.8%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $275.24B · net income $8.10B · FCF $7.84B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.8%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

3.8%+0.3% pts

Net margin

2.9%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

2.8%+1.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$275.24B$275.24B$254.45B$242.29B$226.95B
Net Income$8.10B$8.10B$7.37B$6.29B$5.84B
EBITDA$13.40B$13.40B$12.15B$10.72B$9.90B
EPS——0.560.480.45
Gross Margin12.8%12.8%12.6%12.3%12.1%
Operating Margin3.8%3.8%3.6%3.3%3.4%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%2.9%2.6%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.350.350.44
Current Ratio0.970.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.84B$7.84B$6.63B$6.75B$3.50B
Returns
ROE27.8%27.8%31.2%25.1%28.3%
Valuation
P/E49.8849.8872.6853.5055.63
EV/EBITDA0.960.9643.9330.9532.73
P/B0.640.6422.6613.4415.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.2%8.2%5.0%6.8%—
EPS Growth——16.9%7.8%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.3%

Total return

-10.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.56 → n/d

Residual

-10.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.