StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
CP$88.68-0.72%
Fair $79.25-10.6%

CP

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Industrials / RailroadsNYSE

$88.68

-0.64 (-0.72%)

Fairly Valued-10.6%Fair Value $79.25Fund rank 44/100 · PassSEC 17/17 yrs|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

$52.82

-15.9% CAGR · yield 5.8%

FCF base 5Y

$60.36

-7.4% base · -6.1% expected

Precio de entrada

$28.60

MOS 16% · confianza 90%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $2.2B · quality 70.0/100

Pass 44/100
Bear 5Y$34.66-17.1%
Base 5Y$60.36-7.4%
Bull 5Y$103.63+3.2%
Return 9/100Downside 27/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

39/100

-10.6% upside

5Y CAGR

-6.1%

26/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 17Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 17
Thesis & Journal · CPLocal privado en este navegador · Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$78.7B

P/E

19.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.5x

↑

ROE

9.0%

↑

Gross Margin

37.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$89
$68$91
EV/EBITDA Historical12.5x

TradingView lightweight chart

CP price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $88.68Periodo +4148.1%
Buy zone: $28.60Bear 5Y: $34.66Fair value: $79.25Base 5Y: $60.36Bull 5Y: $103.63

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.7%

FCF / Net income

0.53x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.97B · net income $4.14B · FCF $2.21B

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.2%— pts

Operating margin

37.5%+18.6% pts

Net margin

27.7%+15.2% pts

FCF margin

14.7%+20.5% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$14.97B$14.97B$14.41B$12.44B$8.73B$7.92B$7.65B$7.73B$7.25B$6.49B$6.17B$6.71B$6.62B$6.13B$5.70B$5.18B$4.98B$4.40B
Net Income$4.14B$4.14B$3.72B$3.93B$3.52B$2.85B$2.44B$2.44B$1.95B$2.40B$1.60B$1.35B$1.48B$875.0M$484.0M$570.0M$651.0M$550.0M
EBITDA$8.38B$8.38B$7.47B$-739.0M$5.65B$4.02B$4.09B$3.83B$3.53B$3.18B$3.05B$3.28B$2.89B$1.99B————
EPS4.514.513.984.213.774.183.593.5013.6116.4410.638.408.464.962.793.343.853.30
Gross Margin37.2%37.2%35.6%35.0%37.8%—————————————
Operating Margin37.5%37.5%35.9%35.3%38.1%40.5%43.3%40.4%39.0%38.8%39.1%40.0%35.3%23.2%16.7%18.7%22.4%18.9%
Net Margin27.7%27.7%25.8%31.6%40.3%36.0%32.0%31.6%26.9%37.0%25.9%20.1%22.3%14.3%8.5%11.0%13.1%12.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.480.550.51—————————————
Current Ratio0.670.67————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.21B$2.21B$2.44B$1.67B$2.58B$2.16B$1.13B$1.34B$1.16B$842.0M$907.0M$937.0M$674.0M$714.0M$180.0M$-592.0M$-224.0M$-252.0M
Returns
ROE9.0%9.0%7.8%9.5%9.0%8.4%33.4%34.5%29.4%37.4%34.6%28.2%26.3%12.3%9.5%12.3%13.5%11.8%
Valuation
P/E19.1319.1321.6720.4922.8820.6424.0324.656.345.258.1110.2710.2017.3930.9225.8322.4126.14
EV/EBITDA12.5012.5012.22—16.25—————————————
P/B1.721.721.681.942.071.748.018.501.861.962.812.902.682.152.933.173.033.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.9%3.9%15.8%42.5%10.3%3.5%-1.0%6.5%11.7%5.2%-8.0%1.4%7.9%7.7%10.0%3.9%13.2%—
EPS Growth13.3%13.3%-5.5%11.7%-9.8%16.4%2.6%-74.3%-17.2%54.7%26.5%-0.7%70.6%77.8%-16.5%-13.2%16.7%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growth
terminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.87

Spread vs growth

-7.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.52

Spread vs growth

-2.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$15.33

Spread vs growth

0.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.4%

Total return

+9.4%

Start / end P/E

20.5x → 19.7x

EPS bridge

3.98 → 4.51

Residual

-0.6%

EPS growth+13.3%
Multiple rerating-4.2%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

12.2x16.2x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector12.5x
4.9xmed 9.9x18.8x