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CPH.TO$16.69-0.89%
Fair $16.69+0.0%

CPH.TO

Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericToronto

$16.69

-0.15 (-0.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.69Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $19.5M · quality 82.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 86/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CPH.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$424M

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

17.4x

↑

ROE

21.6%

↑

Gross Margin

80.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$17
$12$21

TradingView lightweight chart

CPH.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.69Periodo +546.9%
Fair value: $16.69

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+34.6%

FCF CAGR

+40.5%

FCF margin

58.5%

FCF / Net income

1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $50.5M · net income $27.3M · FCF $29.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

80.1%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

33.4%-20.0% pts

Net margin

54.2%-74.7% pts

FCF margin

58.5%+7.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$50.5M$50.5M$33.4M$21.2M$20.7M
Net Income$27.3M$27.3M$11.5M$20.4M$26.6M
EBITDA$24.1M$24.1M$11.9M$11.5M$12.0M
EPS——0.460.801.03
Gross Margin80.1%80.1%72.2%80.8%80.7%
Operating Margin33.4%33.4%23.5%48.7%53.4%
Net Margin54.2%54.2%34.6%96.3%128.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.400.000.01
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$29.5M$29.5M$19.5M$16.0M$10.6M
Returns
ROE21.6%21.6%11.3%25.3%41.6%
Valuation
P/E10.1810.1831.357.763.74
EV/EBITDA17.4317.4332.4210.305.89
P/B3.343.343.541.971.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth51.2%51.2%57.7%2.4%—
EPS Growth——-42.5%-22.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.4%

Total return

+34.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.46 → n/d

Residual

+34.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.