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CPHC$15.83-0.06%
Fair $15.83+0.0%

CPHC

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosNasdaqGM

$15.83

-0.01 (-0.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.83Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.6M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 11Warnings: 2unknown: 11
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CPHCLocal privado en este navegador · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$82M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.6x

↑

ROE

-0.6%

↓

Gross Margin

79.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$16
$14$22

TradingView lightweight chart

CPHC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.83Periodo +75.9%
Fair value: $15.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2015–2025 · 10 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.9%

FCF / Net income

-8.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $59.6M · net income $-529431.0 · FCF $4.7M

2015-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

79.8%— pts

Operating margin

4.2%-4.6% pts

Net margin

-0.9%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

7.9%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Income Statement
Revenue$59.6M$59.6M$61.6M$61.4M$66.8M——$59.2M$59.1M$57.0M$52.5M$52.3M
Net Income$-529431.00$-529431.00$2.1M$10.6M$7.5M$11.8M$1.1M$2.7M$5.7M$4.1M$4.2M$2.7M
EBITDA$6.5M$6.5M$8.4M$8.3M$14.0M$20.6M——————
EPS——0.422.131.542.440.230.591.260.930.970.64
Gross Margin79.8%79.8%78.8%79.4%79.2%———————
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%7.7%8.4%16.5%——6.1%12.9%7.9%13.6%8.8%
Net Margin-0.9%-0.9%3.4%17.2%11.2%——4.6%9.7%7.2%8.0%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00—0.00—————
Current Ratio2.422.42——————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.7M$4.7M$-5.5M$3.6M$6.2M————$3.3M$41485.00—
Returns
ROE-0.6%-0.6%2.5%12.9%10.6%18.3%2.1%5.5%12.2%10.0%11.5%8.2%
Valuation
P/E——50.008.9318.68———————
EV/EBITDA10.6110.6111.448.699.12———————
P/B0.970.971.261.151.98———————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.2%-3.2%0.2%-8.1%———0.1%3.8%8.6%0.4%—
EPS Growth——-80.3%38.3%—960.9%-61.0%-53.2%35.5%-4.1%51.6%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%——————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.1%

Total return

-10.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.42 → n/d

Residual

-11.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.