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CRN.L$201.50-1.71%
Fair $201.50+0.0%

CRN.L

Cairn Homes plc

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionLSE

$201.50

-3.50 (-1.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $201.50Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $102.9M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CRN.LLocal privado en este navegador · Cairn Homes plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

11.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

743.2x

↑

ROE

15.9%

↑

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$202
$161$211

TradingView lightweight chart

CRN.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $201.50Periodo +91.9%
Fair value: $201.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.2%

FCF CAGR

-7.7%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

0.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $944.6M · net income $132.7M · FCF $67.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

17.8%+1.2% pts

Net margin

14.0%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

7.2%-6.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$944.6M$944.6M$859.9M$666.8M$617.4M
Net Income$132.7M$132.7M$114.6M$85.4M$81.0M
EBITDA$170.4M$170.4M$152.3M$115.1M$104.0M
EPS0.210.210.180.130.11
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%21.7%22.1%21.7%
Operating Margin17.8%17.8%17.4%17.0%16.7%
Net Margin14.0%14.0%13.3%12.8%13.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.250.240.24
Current Ratio5.125.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$67.8M$67.8M$130.3M$102.9M$86.2M
Returns
ROE15.9%15.9%15.1%11.3%10.8%
Valuation
P/E11.1911.191076.40904.76696.49
EV/EBITDA743.22743.22812.05673.27543.69
P/B151.20151.20162.91102.1775.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%29.0%8.0%—
EPS Growth18.5%18.5%41.3%10.5%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

339.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$17.88

Spread vs growth

-320.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

152.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$21.63

Spread vs growth

-133.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

66.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.84

Spread vs growth

-48.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.8%

Total return

+12.8%

Start / end P/E

1042.7x → 955.0x

EPS bridge

0.18 → 0.21

Residual

-1.6%

EPS growth+18.5%
Multiple rerating-8.4%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.