StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
CRST.L$67.68+2.86%
Fair $67.68+0.0%

CRST.L

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionLSE

$67.68

+1.88 (+2.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $67.68Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-69.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CRST.LLocal privado en este navegador · Crest Nicholson Holdings plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$174M

P/E

67.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

599.2x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

13.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$68
$60$198

TradingView lightweight chart

CRST.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $67.68Periodo -74.2%
Fair value: $67.68

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.9%

FCF / Net income

-5.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $610.8M · net income $2.2M · FCF $-11.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.3%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

4.7%+0.1% pts

Net margin

0.4%-2.5% pts

FCF margin

-1.9%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$610.8M$610.8M$618.2M$657.5M$913.6M
Net Income$2.2M$2.2M$-105.0M$17.9M$26.4M
EBITDA$29.2M$29.2M$-124.9M$39.5M$45.6M
EPS0.010.01-0.400.070.10
Gross Margin13.3%13.3%-11.9%12.9%10.0%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%-21.2%4.5%4.6%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%-17.0%2.7%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.130.120.11
Current Ratio2.632.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-11.9M$-11.9M$-69.2M$-167.4M$51.6M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%-14.5%2.1%3.0%
Valuation
P/E67.6867.68—2512.862062.75
EV/EBITDA599.16599.16—1141.761183.18
P/B24.3024.3059.9952.7461.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.2%-1.2%-6.0%-28.0%—
EPS Growth102.2%102.2%-677.1%-31.4%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

773.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.01

Spread vs growth

-671.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

281.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.27

Spread vs growth

-179.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

104.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.70

Spread vs growth

-2.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -56.5%

Total return

-56.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.40 → 0.01

Residual

-61.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-61.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.