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CRTO$18.58-2.77%
Fair $18.58+0.0%

CRTO

Criteo S.A.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqGS

$18.58

-0.53 (-2.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.58Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $180.0M · quality 82.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 12Warnings: 0unknown: 12
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CRTOLocal privado en este navegador · Criteo S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$934M

P/E

8.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

54.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$19
$16$27

TradingView lightweight chart

CRTO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.58Periodo -47.5%
Fair value: $18.58

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2014–2025 · 11 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.7%

FCF / Net income

1.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.94B · net income $144.6M · FCF $208.5M

2014-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.0%+18.1% pts

Operating margin

10.4%+5.1% pts

Net margin

7.4%+2.8% pts

FCF margin

10.7%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Income Statement
Revenue$1.94B$1.94B$1.93B$1.95B$2.02B$2.25B$2.07B$2.26B$2.30B$2.30B$1.80B$1.32B$988.2M
Net Income$144.6M$144.6M$111.6M$53.3M$9.0M$134.5M$71.7M$90.7M$88.6M$91.2M$82.3M$59.6M$45.6M
EBITDA$335.5M$335.5M$245.8M$154.6M$199.0M————————
EPS2.642.641.900.800.142.091.161.381.311.341.250.910.72
Gross Margin54.0%54.0%50.8%44.3%39.4%34.7%33.2%36.7%36.3%35.7%35.8%35.7%35.9%
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%7.8%4.0%1.2%6.7%5.3%6.2%6.4%6.0%6.7%5.8%5.4%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%5.8%2.7%0.4%6.0%3.5%4.0%3.9%4.0%4.6%4.5%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.100.110.10—0.000.000.000.000.130.01—
Current Ratio1.281.28———————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$208.5M$208.5M$180.0M$108.1M$192.2M————————
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%10.6%4.9%0.9%11.6%6.4%9.0%9.4%10.3%13.7%12.6%—
Valuation
P/E8.728.7221.7430.20189.93————————
EV/EBITDA2.432.439.088.007.18————————
P/B0.890.892.311.351.59————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.6%0.6%-0.8%-3.3%—8.8%-8.4%-1.7%0.2%27.7%36.0%33.9%—
EPS Growth38.9%38.9%137.5%471.4%—80.2%-15.9%5.3%-2.2%7.2%37.4%26.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.65

Spread vs growth

53.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.99

Spread vs growth

44.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.21

Spread vs growth

37.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -26.6%

Total return

-26.6%

Start / end P/E

13.3x → 7.0x

EPS bridge

1.90 → 2.64

Residual

-18.4%

EPS growth+38.9%
Multiple rerating-47.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-18.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.