Industrials / RailroadsNasdaqGS
$45.88
+0.62 (+1.36%)
FCF base 3Y
$16.41
-29.0% CAGR · yield 6.9%
FCF base 5Y
$13.89
-21.3% base · -19.5% expected
Precio de entrada
$6.41
MOS 19% · confianza 83%
FCF escenarios
audited · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 60.3/100
Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.
SA Score
34/100
D
Piotroski
4/9
balance/quality
Valuation
17/100
-33.1% upside
5Y CAGR
-19.5%
0/100
Data QA
100/100
SEC 100%
Sin guardar todavía.
Market Cap
$85.2B
P/E
29.6x
↑EV/EBITDA
16.6x
↑ROE
22.0%
↑Gross Margin
33.2%
↑Debt/Equity
1.47
↑TradingView lightweight chart
Absolute Values (Left Axis)
Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)
Financial statement dashboard
2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado
Revenue CAGR
+1.9%
FCF CAGR
+8.2%
FCF margin
12.1%
FCF / Net income
0.59x
Latest source
SEC-backed
Margin decomposition
Último año: revenue $14.09B · net income $2.89B · FCF $1.71B
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
FCF margin
| Metric | TTM | 2025SEC | 2024SEC | 2023SEC | 2022SEC | 2021SEC | 2020SEC | 2019SEC | 2018SEC | 2017SEC | 2016SEC | 2015SEC | 2014SEC | 2013SEC | 2012SEC | 2011SEC | 2010SEC | 2009SEC | 2008SEC | 2007SEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue | $14.09B | $14.09B | $14.54B | $14.66B | $14.85B | $12.52B | $10.58B | $11.94B | $12.25B | $11.41B | $11.07B | $11.81B | $12.67B | $12.03B | $11.76B | $11.79B | $10.64B | $9.04B | $11.26B | $10.03B |
| Net Income | $2.89B | $2.89B | $3.47B | $3.67B | $4.11B | $3.78B | $2.77B | $3.33B | $3.31B | $5.47B | $1.71B | $1.97B | $1.93B | $1.86B | $1.86B | $1.85B | $1.56B | $1.14B | $1.35B | $1.34B |
| EBITDA | $6.29B | $6.29B | $7.04B | $7.25B | $7.59B | $7.01B | $5.75B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EPS | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.68 | 1.20 | 1.39 | 3.84 | 5.99 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.83 | 1.79 | 1.70 | 1.35 | 0.96 | 3.32 | 2.99 |
| Gross Margin | 33.2% | 33.2% | 36.8% | 37.5% | 38.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Margin | 32.1% | 32.1% | 36.1% | 37.5% | 40.1% | 44.7% | 41.2% | 41.6% | 39.7% | 32.6% | 30.8% | 30.3% | 28.5% | 28.9% | 29.4% | 29.4% | 28.9% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% |
| Net Margin | 20.5% | 20.5% | 23.9% | 25.0% | 27.7% | 30.2% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 27.0% | 48.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% |
| Balance Sheet | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Debt/Equity | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Current Ratio | 0.97 | 0.97 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash Flow | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow | $1.71B | $1.71B | $2.72B | $3.26B | $3.41B | $3.31B | $2.64B | $3.19B | $2.90B | $1.43B | $643.0M | $808.0M | $894.0M | $954.0M | $605.0M | $1.19B | $1.42B | $613.0M | $1.17B | $411.0M |
| Returns | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ROE | 22.0% | 22.0% | 27.7% | 30.6% | 33.0% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 28.1% | 26.3% | 37.2% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| Valuation | ||||||||||||||||||||
| P/E | 29.56 | 29.56 | 25.43 | 25.01 | 23.71 | 27.10 | 37.93 | 32.75 | 11.85 | 7.60 | 25.15 | 22.76 | 23.71 | 24.87 | 25.43 | 26.78 | 33.72 | 47.42 | 13.71 | 15.22 |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.62 | 16.62 | 11.48 | 12.06 | 11.27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 6.48 | 6.48 | 7.07 | 7.65 | 7.82 | 7.63 | 8.00 | 9.19 | 3.12 | 2.83 | 3.69 | 3.84 | 4.08 | 4.42 | 5.18 | 5.77 | 5.97 | 6.16 | 2.33 | 0.00 |
| Growth & Yield | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue Growth | -3.1% | -3.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | 18.6% | 18.3% | -11.3% | -2.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | -6.3% | -6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -0.3% | 10.9% | 17.6% | -19.7% | 12.2% | — |
| EPS Growth | -14.0% | -14.0% | -1.6% | -5.2% | 14.3% | 40.0% | -13.7% | -63.8% | -35.9% | 230.9% | -9.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 25.9% | 40.6% | -71.1% | 11.0% | — |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)
Margins (%)
Returns (%)
Leverage & Liquidity
3Y implied EPS CAGR
38.3%
EPS terminal req.
$4.07
Spread vs growth
-52.2%
5Y implied EPS CAGR
26.2%
EPS terminal req.
$4.93
Spread vs growth
-40.1%
10Y implied EPS CAGR
17.8%
EPS terminal req.
$7.93
Spread vs growth
-31.8%
Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.
Total return
+46.5%
Start / end P/E
17.6x → 29.8x
EPS bridge
1.79 → 1.54
Residual
-9.6%
Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.