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CTA.L$38.17+9.06%
Fair $38.17+0.0%

CTA.L

CT Automotive Group plc

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsLSE

$38.17

+3.17 (+9.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $38.17Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.7M · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CTA.LLocal privado en este navegador · CT Automotive Group plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$28M

P/E

4.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

200.6x

↑

ROE

32.9%

↑

Gross Margin

27.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$38
$19$47

TradingView lightweight chart

CTA.L price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $38.17Periodo -76.1%
Fair value: $38.17

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.1%

FCF / Net income

0.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $119.7M · net income $8.7M · FCF $3.7M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

27.6%+7.9% pts

Operating margin

8.0%+13.8% pts

Net margin

7.2%+15.9% pts

FCF margin

3.1%+3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$119.7M$119.7M$143.0M$124.3M$127.8M
Net Income$8.7M$8.7M$6.3M$-24.7M$-11.1M
EBITDA$14.9M$14.9M$13.7M$-10.9M$-2.6M
EPS0.110.110.09-0.48-0.31
Gross Margin27.6%27.6%21.6%12.0%19.8%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%5.9%-13.5%-5.8%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%4.4%-19.8%-8.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.651.3111.251.12
Current Ratio1.331.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.7M$3.7M$4.8M$2.0M$-142000.00
Returns
ROE32.9%32.9%37.3%-957.1%-40.6%
Valuation
P/E4.774.77744.68——
EV/EBITDA200.64200.64343.68——
P/B113.03113.03278.091877.63119.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.2%-16.2%15.1%-2.8%—
EPS Growth18.1%18.1%119.4%-55.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

212.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.39

Spread vs growth

-194.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

105.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.10

Spread vs growth

-87.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

50.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.60

Spread vs growth

-32.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.3%

Total return

-13.3%

Start / end P/E

468.1x → 343.9x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.11

Residual

-4.8%

EPS growth+18.1%
Multiple rerating-26.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.