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CTAXTELA.MX$0.88-1.57%
Fair $0.88+0.0%

CTAXTELA.MX

Controladora Axtel S.A.B. de C.V.

Unknown / UnknownMexico

$0.88

-0.01 (-1.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.88Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 8/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.0B · quality 48.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.23, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · CTAXTELA.MXLocal privado en este navegador · Controladora Axtel S.A.B. de C.V.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

26.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.9x

↓

ROE

21.7%

↑

Gross Margin

56.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

3.23

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

CTAXTELA.MX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.880Periodo +373.1%
Fair value: $0.880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

+9.7%

FCF margin

20.0%

FCF / Net income

3.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.37B · net income $635.6M · FCF $2.47B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.3%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

12.5%+11.6% pts

Net margin

5.1%+5.5% pts

FCF margin

20.0%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.37B$12.37B$11.56B$10.96B$10.48B
Net Income$635.6M$635.6M$-691.2M$314.3M$-38.8M
EBITDA$4.30B$4.30B$2.42B$3.78B$3.72B
EPS0.030.03-0.040.02-0.01
Gross Margin56.3%56.3%53.3%51.9%50.7%
Operating Margin12.5%12.5%11.6%5.3%0.9%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%-6.0%2.9%-0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.233.234.793.414.17
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.47B$2.47B$1.98B$1.47B$1.88B
Returns
ROE21.7%21.7%-29.4%10.1%-1.4%
Valuation
P/E26.6726.67—11.25—
EV/EBITDA1.901.904.143.44—
P/B0.010.010.001.14—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%5.5%4.5%—
EPS Growth194.3%194.3%-318.8%298.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

33.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

161.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

170.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

177.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.2%

Total return

+22.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.04 → 0.03

Residual

+22.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.