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CTRA.JK$640.00-0.78%
Fair $640.00+0.0%

CTRA.JK

PT Ciputra Development Tbk

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentJakarta

$640.00

-5.00 (-0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $640.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CTRA.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Ciputra Development Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.86T

P/E

4.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

47.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.41

↓
52-Week Range$640
$630$1110

TradingView lightweight chart

CTRA.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $640.00Periodo +713.7%
Fair value: $640.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.62T · net income $2.66T · FCF $-642.01B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.5%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

30.4%-3.2% pts

Net margin

21.1%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

-5.1%-42.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12616.69B$12616.69B$11187.57B$9245.03B$9126.80B
Net Income$2663.10B$2663.10B$2126.29B$1846.09B$1862.40B
EBITDA$3977.75B$3977.75B$3469.00B$3574.11B$3517.61B
EPS144.00144.00115.00100.00100.00
Gross Margin47.5%47.5%47.0%49.3%50.0%
Operating Margin30.4%30.4%30.8%31.9%33.6%
Net Margin21.1%21.1%19.0%20.0%20.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.360.400.48
Current Ratio2.242.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-642.01B$-642.01B$2095.50B$3099.91B$3399.75B
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%9.7%9.2%10.0%
Valuation
P/E4.704.708.7011.908.90
EV/EBITDA2.852.854.705.474.65
P/B0.490.490.851.100.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.8%12.8%21.0%1.3%—
EPS Growth25.2%25.2%15.0%0.0%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-26.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$56.79

Spread vs growth

51.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$68.72

Spread vs growth

39.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$110.67

Spread vs growth

27.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.2%

Total return

-33.2%

Start / end P/E

8.8x → 4.4x

EPS bridge

115.00 → 144.00

Residual

-12.5%

EPS growth+25.2%
Multiple rerating-49.6%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.