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v0.1
CTRN$44.28-3.76%
Fair $44.28+0.0%

CTRN

Citi Trends, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailNasdaqGS

$44.28

-1.73 (-3.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $44.28Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-14.0M · quality 42.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CTRNLocal privado en este navegador · Citi Trends, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$370M

P/E

70.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.6x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

39.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.92

↑
52-Week Range$44
$26$57

TradingView lightweight chart

CTRN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $44.28Periodo +182.0%
Fair value: $44.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2010–2026 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.1%

FCF / Net income

0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $820.0M · net income $5.2M · FCF $624000.0

2010-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

39.6%— pts

Operating margin

-0.9%— pts

Net margin

0.6%— pts

FCF margin

0.1%— pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Income Statement
Revenue$820.0M$820.0M$753.1M$747.9M$795.0M$991.6M$783.3M$781.9M$769.6M$755.2M$695.2M———————
Net Income$5.2M$5.2M$-43.2M$-12.0M$58.9M$62.2M$24.0M$16.5M$21.4M$14.6M$13.3M$15.5M$9.0M$464000.00$-2.2M$-10.0M$20.9M$19.7M
EBITDA$24.3M$24.3M$-18.2M$3.4M$96.9M$99.9M$51.2M$37.1M$44.0M$41.6M$36.0M$42.8M$31.3M$21.6M$19.2M$7.0M$51.8M$47.7M
EPS0.630.63-5.19-1.467.176.912.321.411.641.030.911.030.600.03-0.15-0.691.441.36
Gross Margin39.6%39.6%37.5%38.1%39.1%—————————————
Operating Margin-0.9%-0.9%-4.9%-2.5%1.4%8.0%4.1%2.4%3.3%3.0%2.7%———————
Net Margin0.6%0.6%-5.7%-1.6%7.4%6.3%3.1%2.1%2.8%1.9%1.9%———————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.921.921.951.491.61—————————————
Current Ratio1.111.11————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$624000.00$624000.00$-14.0M$-24.5M$-16.5M—————————————
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%-38.1%-7.6%35.4%53.6%14.7%9.6%11.4%7.0%6.0%7.3%4.3%0.2%-1.1%-5.1%10.2%10.9%
Valuation
P/E70.2970.29——4.75—————————————
EV/EBITDA21.5721.57—112.874.58—————————————
P/B3.163.161.761.461.68—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.9%8.9%0.7%-5.9%—26.6%0.2%1.6%1.9%8.6%————————
EPS Growth112.1%112.1%-255.5%-120.4%—197.8%64.5%-14.0%59.2%13.2%-11.7%71.7%1900.0%120.0%78.3%-147.9%5.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

84.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.93

Spread vs growth

28.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

49.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.75

Spread vs growth

62.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.66

Spread vs growth

83.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +67.2%

Total return

+67.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.19 → 0.63

Residual

+67.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+67.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.