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CTT.LS$5.99-1.24%
Fair $5.99+0.0%

CTT.LS

CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsLisbon

$5.99

-0.08 (-1.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.99Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $893.9M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.18, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · CTT.LSLocal privado en este navegador · CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$793M

P/E

15.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

19.7%

↑

Gross Margin

8.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.18

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

CTT.LS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.990Periodo +4.8%
Fair value: $5.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.6%

FCF CAGR

-3.0%

FCF margin

9.4%

FCF / Net income

2.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.23B · net income $50.7M · FCF $115.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.2%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+0.1% pts

Net margin

4.1%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

9.4%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.23B$1.23B$1.06B$943.4M$862.9M
Net Income$50.7M$50.7M$45.5M$60.5M$36.4M
EBITDA$92.3M$92.3M$73.8M$77.9M$55.7M
EPS——0.330.430.25
Gross Margin8.2%8.2%7.7%8.4%7.6%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%8.6%13.0%8.9%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%4.3%6.4%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.182.181.942.452.87
Current Ratio0.550.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$115.3M$115.3M$893.9M$975.9M$126.1M
Returns
ROE19.7%19.7%18.4%24.0%16.3%
Valuation
P/E15.7615.7616.308.3313.02
EV/EBITDA10.9410.9412.209.9111.92
P/B3.093.092.982.022.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.8%15.8%12.8%9.3%—
EPS Growth——-23.3%72.0%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.7%

Total return

-17.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.33 → n/d

Residual

-20.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.