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v0.1
CVGI$5.13-0.39%
Fair $5.13+0.0%

CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsNasdaqGS

$5.13

-0.02 (-0.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.13Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.6M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 2unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -17.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · CVGILocal privado en este navegador · Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$173M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

23.8x

↑

ROE

-17.1%

↓

Gross Margin

10.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.08

↑
52-Week Range$5
$1$6

TradingView lightweight chart

CVGI price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.130Periodo -62.1%
Fair value: $5.130

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

+6.4%

FCF margin

5.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.49x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $649.0M · net income $-22.8M · FCF $34.0M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.5%+8.4% pts

Operating margin

-0.1%+19.5% pts

Net margin

-3.5%+14.3% pts

FCF margin

5.2%+2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$649.0M$649.0M$723.4M$835.5M$782.6M$971.6M$717.7M$901.2M$897.7M$755.2M$662.1M$825.3M$839.7M$747.7M$857.9M$832.0M$597.8M$458.6M
Net Income$-22.8M$-22.8M$-27.9M$49.4M$-22.0M$23.7M$-37.0M$15.8M$41.5M$-2.3M$6.8M$7.1M$7.6M$-12.4M$50.1M$18.6M$6.5M$-81.5M
EBITDA$12.0M$12.0M$18.3M$56.3M$31.6M$68.1M$-4.7M$56.1M$78.2M$45.2M$41.4M$55.7M$51.9M$27.0M$58.2M$61.6M$28.3M$-73.0M
EPS——-0.831.47-0.680.72-1.200.511.36-0.080.230.240.26-0.441.760.660.24-3.74
Gross Margin10.5%10.5%10.1%14.5%10.9%12.2%10.3%11.7%13.9%12.0%13.1%13.4%12.8%10.7%13.6%13.9%12.5%2.1%
Operating Margin-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%4.8%3.2%5.1%-3.2%4.5%7.0%4.0%3.8%4.6%4.0%0.9%5.1%5.9%2.8%-19.6%
Net Margin-3.5%-3.5%-3.9%5.9%-2.8%2.4%-5.2%1.8%4.6%-0.3%1.0%0.9%0.9%-1.7%5.8%2.2%1.1%-17.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.081.081.231.001.491.471.511.191.412.263.543.524.254.173.7719.58-1473.10—
Current Ratio2.132.13————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$34.0M$34.0M$-52.0M$18.6M$49.2M$-47.5M$27.2M$12.7M$26.8M$-11.2M$37.9M$40.6M$-4.2M$6.5M$6.7M$-13.5M$7.5M$12.6M
Returns
ROE-17.1%-17.1%-20.6%28.6%-18.3%18.7%-38.8%12.3%37.9%-3.1%10.3%10.7%13.0%-20.8%75.5%145.7%-5792.0%—
Valuation
P/E———4.71——————————————
EV/EBITDA23.8023.8011.886.5311.88—————————————
P/B1.321.320.571.341.90—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.3%-10.3%-13.4%6.8%—35.4%-20.4%0.4%18.9%14.1%-19.8%-1.7%12.3%-12.8%3.1%39.2%30.4%—
EPS Growth——-156.5%316.2%—160.0%-335.3%-62.5%1800.0%-134.8%-4.2%-7.7%159.1%-125.0%166.7%175.0%106.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +294.6%

Total return

+294.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.83 → n/d

Residual

+294.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+294.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.