StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
CVL.AX$1.75+0.87%
Fair $1.75+0.0%

CVL.AX

Civmec Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionASX

$1.75

+0.01 (+0.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.75Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $56.1M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · CVL.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Civmec Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$889M

P/E

24.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

11.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

CVL.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.745Periodo +129.6%
Fair value: $1.745

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.9%

FCF / Net income

1.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $810.6M · net income $42.5M · FCF $56.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.5%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

7.8%-1.0% pts

Net margin

5.2%-1.0% pts

FCF margin

6.9%+7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$810.6M$810.6M$1.03B$830.9M$809.3M
Net Income$42.5M$42.5M$64.4M$57.7M$50.8M
EBITDA$82.8M$82.8M$112.0M$101.9M$89.9M
EPS0.080.080.130.110.10
Gross Margin11.5%11.5%11.5%13.1%11.2%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%8.9%10.2%8.8%
Net Margin5.2%5.2%6.2%6.9%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.250.270.35
Current Ratio1.471.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$56.1M$56.1M$46.1M$75.4M$-5.1M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%13.2%13.7%13.7%
Valuation
P/E24.9324.937.847.265.93
EV/EBITDA11.0011.004.804.544.35
P/B1.681.681.030.990.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.6%-21.6%24.4%2.7%—
EPS Growth-34.2%-34.2%12.6%10.4%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.15

Spread vs growth

-57.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-52.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

-48.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +66.5%

Total return

+66.5%

Start / end P/E

8.5x → 21.1x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.08

Residual

-50.6%

EPS growth-34.2%
Multiple rerating+147.9%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-50.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.