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CVX$185.83+1.85%
Fair $185.83+0.0%

CVX

Chevron Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedNYSE

$185.83

+3.37 (+1.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $185.83Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.6B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 2unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CVXLocal privado en este navegador · Chevron Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$370.1B

P/E

32.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↑

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

30.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$186
$135$215

TradingView lightweight chart

CVX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $185.83Periodo +344.4%
Fair value: $185.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.0%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $184.43B · net income $12.30B · FCF $16.59B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.4%— pts

Operating margin

9.0%— pts

Net margin

6.7%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

9.0%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$184.43B$184.43B$193.41B$196.91B$235.72B$155.61B$94.47B$139.87B$158.90B$141.72B$114.47B$138.48B$211.97B$228.85B$241.91B$253.71B$204.93B$171.64B$273.00B$220.90B
Net Income$12.30B$12.30B$17.66B$21.37B$35.47B$15.63B$-5.54B$2.92B$14.82B$9.20B$-497.0M$4.59B$19.24B$21.42B$26.18B$26.89B$19.02B$10.48B$23.93B$18.69B
EBITDA$41.42B$41.42B$45.81B$47.81B$65.48B———————————————
EPS6.636.639.7211.3618.288.14-2.961.547.744.85-0.272.4510.1411.0913.3213.449.485.2411.678.77
Gross Margin30.4%30.4%29.4%30.7%31.4%———————————————
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%9.8%13.3%16.9%———————————————
Net Margin6.7%6.7%9.1%10.9%15.0%10.0%-5.9%2.1%9.3%6.5%-0.4%3.3%9.1%9.4%10.8%10.6%9.3%6.1%8.8%8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.160.130.150.180.190.130.150.230.240.220.150.130.090.080.100.110.07—
Current Ratio1.091.09——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.59B$16.59B$15.04B$19.78B$37.63B———————————————
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%11.6%13.3%22.3%11.2%-4.2%2.0%9.6%6.2%-0.3%3.0%12.4%14.4%19.2%22.2%18.1%11.4%27.6%24.2%
Valuation
P/E32.3732.3715.2113.249.66———————————————
EV/EBITDA9.169.166.256.185.32———————————————
P/B1.851.851.761.762.15———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.6%-4.6%-1.8%-16.5%—64.7%-32.5%-12.0%12.1%23.8%-17.3%-34.7%-7.4%-5.4%-4.6%23.8%19.4%-37.1%23.6%—
EPS Growth-31.8%-31.8%-14.4%-37.9%—375.0%-292.2%-80.1%59.6%1896.3%-111.0%-75.8%-8.6%-16.7%-0.9%41.8%80.9%-55.1%33.1%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

35.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$16.49

Spread vs growth

-67.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.95

Spread vs growth

-56.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$32.13

Spread vs growth

-48.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +39.8%

Total return

+39.8%

Start / end P/E

14.1x → 28.0x

EPS bridge

9.72 → 6.63

Residual

-31.6%

EPS growth-31.8%
Multiple rerating+99.3%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.