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CVX.MX$3213.85+1.88%
Fair $3213.85+0.0%

CVX.MX

Chevron Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas IntegratedMexico

$3213.85

+59.17 (+1.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3213.85Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.6B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · CVX.MXLocal privado en este navegador · Chevron Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.40T

P/E

32.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

144.8x

↑

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

30.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$3214
$2630$3919

TradingView lightweight chart

CVX.MX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,214Periodo +450.3%
Fair value: $3,214

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.9%

FCF CAGR

-23.9%

FCF margin

9.0%

FCF / Net income

1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $184.43B · net income $12.30B · FCF $16.59B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.4%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

9.0%-7.9% pts

Net margin

6.7%-8.4% pts

FCF margin

9.0%-7.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$184.43B$184.43B$193.41B$196.91B$235.72B
Net Income$12.30B$12.30B$17.66B$21.37B$35.47B
EBITDA$41.42B$41.42B$45.81B$47.81B$65.48B
EPS6.636.639.7211.3618.28
Gross Margin30.4%30.4%29.4%30.7%31.4%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%9.8%13.3%16.9%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%9.1%10.9%15.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.160.130.15
Current Ratio1.091.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.59B$16.59B$15.04B$19.78B$37.63B
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%11.6%13.3%22.3%
Valuation
P/E32.3432.34314.49223.86186.60
EV/EBITDA144.82144.82121.60100.27101.15
P/B31.9931.9936.4629.7141.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.6%-4.6%-1.8%-16.5%—
EPS Growth-31.8%-31.8%-14.4%-37.9%—
Dividend Yield3.9%3.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

250.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$285.18

Spread vs growth

-282.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

120.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$345.06

Spread vs growth

-152.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

55.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$555.73

Spread vs growth

-87.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.7%

Total return

+25.7%

Start / end P/E

271.5x → 484.7x

EPS bridge

9.72 → 6.63

Residual

-25.0%

EPS growth-31.8%
Multiple rerating+78.5%
Dividend+3.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.